Population Dynamics

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  Subject Areas on Research

  • "Any news?" Special issue in honor of Marcus Feldman's 75th birthday. 
  • "Death and taxes": a contrary view. 
  • "No one dies of old age": implications for research, practice, and policy. 
  • A Bayesian uncertainty analysis of cetacean demography and bycatch mortality using age-at-death data 
  • A Waiting Time Distribution for the First Conception and Its Application to a Non-Contracepting Traditional Society 
  • A critical body residue approach for predicting persistent bioaccumulative toxicant effects on reproduction and population dynamics of meiobenthic copepods. 
  • A few thoughts on measurement issues. 
  • A graph-theory framework for evaluating landscape connectivity and conservation planning. 
  • A multi-dimensional model for projecting family households--with an illustrative numerical application. 
  • A multi-locus assessment of connectivity and historical demography in the bluehead wrasse (Thalassoma bifasciatum). 
  • A national survey on the current status of general internal medicine residency education in geriatric medicine. 
  • A surplus no more? Variation in krill availability impacts reproductive rates of Antarctic baleen whales. 
  • A synthetic Escherichia coli predator-prey ecosystem. 
  • Ability of matrix models to explain the past and predict the future of plant populations. 
  • Adaptive feeding across environmental gradients and its effect on population dynamics. 
  • Advances in research on the impacts of anti-submarine sonar on beaked whales. 
  • African elephants and contraception. 
  • Africans in the American Labor Market. 
  • Age Profiles of Cognitive Decline and Dementia in Late Life in the Aging, Demographics, and Memory Study. 
  • Age and regional disparity in HIV education among migrants in China: migrants population dynamic monitoring survey, 2014-2015. 
  • Age-specific mortality trends in France and Italy since 1900: period and cohort effects. 
  • Aging spine: challenges and emerging techniques. 
  • Alternative models for the heterogeneity of mortality risks among the aged. 
  • An age-structured extension to the vectorial capacity model. 
  • Apes in Africa: The cultured chimpanzees. 
  • Are the ghosts of nature's past haunting ecology today? 
  • Bayesian inference on age-specific survival for censored and truncated data. 
  • Between-site differences in the scale of dispersal and gene flow in red oak. 
  • Bilateral action for right whales. 
  • Biodiversity and the Lotka-Volterra theory of species interactions: open systems and the distribution of logarithmic densities. 
  • Biodiversity: climate change or habitat loss - which will kill more species? 
  • Biomass and compositional responses of ectomycorrhizal fungal hyphae to elevated CO2 and nitrogen fertilization. 
  • Biotic interactions and plant invasions. 
  • Boom-bust dynamics in biological invasions: towards an improved application of the concept. 
  • Breeding birds on small islands: island biogeography or optimal foraging? 
  • Bryophyte diversity and evolution: windows into the early evolution of land plants. 
  • Buffering of life histories against environmental stochasticity: accounting for a spurious correlation between the variabilities of vital rates and their contributions to fitness. 
  • Building Statistical Models to Analyze Species Distributions 
  • Bushmeat supply and consumption in a tropical logging concession in northern Congo. 
  • Can conservation biologists rely on established community structure rules to manage novel systems? ... Not in salt marshes. 
  • Capacity shortfalls hinder the performance of marine protected areas globally. 
  • Caregiver staffing in nursing homes and their influence on quality of care: using dynamic panel estimation methods. 
  • Changing concepts of morbidity and mortality in the elderly population. 
  • Characterizing fishing effort and spatial extent of coastal fisheries 
  • Child survival, height for age and household characteristics in Brazil. 
  • Children in dark times: a year of silent emergency. 
  • Chinese American Wealth: Heterogeneity and Adaptation 
  • Climate disruption and biodiversity. 
  • Coevolution to the edge of chaos: coupled fitness landscapes, poised states, and coevolutionary avalanches. 
  • Coexistence of cycling and dispersing consumer species: Armstrong and McGehee in space. 
  • Cohort-specific rural-urban migration in Africa. 
  • Comparative tests of parasite species richness in primates. 
  • Comparison of exposure estimation methods for air pollutants: ambient monitoring data and regional air quality simulation. 
  • Competitive exclusion in a model with seasonality: Three species cannot coexist in an ecosystem with two seasons. 
  • Consequences of return migrant status for employment in Puerto Rico. 
  • Conservation. Elephants, ivory, and trade. 
  • Constraints to species' elevational range shifts as climate changes. 
  • Consumer effects on the vital rates of their resource can determine the outcome of competition between consumers. 
  • Contrasting quaternary histories in an ecologically divergent sister pair of low-dispersing intertidal fish (Xiphister) revealed by multilocus DNA analysis. 
  • Conventional functional classification schemes underestimate the relationship with ecosystem functioning. 
  • Correlated individual frailty: an advantageous approach to survival analysis of bivariate data. 
  • Counting India's wild tigers reliably. 
  • Crab herbivory regulates plant facilitative and competitive processes in Argentinean marshes. 
  • Debilitation's aftermath: stochastic process models of mortality. 
  • Decoupling the effects of logging and hunting on an afrotropical animal community. 
  • Delayed population explosion of an introduced butterfly. 
  • Demographic consequences of migration trends in Puerto Rico: 1950-1980. 
  • Demographic trends for the aging female population. 
  • Demographics, phenotypic health characteristics and genetic analysis of centenarians in China. 
  • Direct and interactive effects of enemies and mutualists on plant performance: a meta-analysis. 
  • Dispersal of Amazonian birds in continuous and fragmented forest. 
  • Distribution, ecology, life history, genetic variation, and risk of extinction of nonhuman primates from Costa Rica. 
  • Does climate variability influence the demography of wild primates? Evidence from long-term life-history data in seven species. 
  • Drivers of secondary succession rates across temperate latitudes of the Eastern USA: climate, soils, and species pools. 
  • Dynamic habitat models: Using telemetry data to project fisheries bycatch. 
  • Dynamic malaria hotspots in an open cohort in western Kenya. 
  • Dynamics of rural-urban migration in India: 1960-1981. 
  • Ecological dynamics of mutualist/antagonist communities. 
  • Ecology. Ecology for a crowded planet. 
  • Ecosystem engineers: feedback and population dynamics. 
  • Effects of changing demographic factors upon women's family status in China: a model of a family status life table and its application. 
  • Effects of demographic and retirement-age policies on future pension deficits, with an application to China. 
  • Effects of future infrastructure development on threat status and occurrence of Amazonian birds. 
  • Effects of maternal source and progeny microhabitat on natural selection and population dynamics in Alliaria petiolata. 
  • Elasticity of population growth with respect to the intensity of biotic or abiotic driving factors. 
  • Elevational ranges of birds on a tropical montane gradient lag behind warming temperatures. 
  • Empirical Bayes procedures for stabilizing maps of U.S. cancer mortality rates. 
  • Enabling Healthful Aging for All - The National Academy of Medicine Grand Challenge in Healthy Longevity. 
  • Enemies maintain hyperdiverse tropical forests. 
  • Estimating extinction risk with metapopulation models of large-scale fragmentation. 
  • Evaluating Spatial Interaction Models for Regional Mobility in Sub-Saharan Africa. 
  • Evaluating the impacts of multiple generalist fungal pathogens on temperate tree seedling survival. 
  • Evidence from individual inference for high-dimensional coexistence: long-term experiments on recruitment response. 
  • Evolution in a spatially structured population subject to rare epidemics. 
  • Exact solution for a metapopulation version of Schelling's model. 
  • Falling palm fronds structure amazonian rainforest sapling communities. 
  • Feasibility of northern Thai factory workers as participants in HIV vaccine trials. 
  • Fertility of rural China: effects of local family planning and health programs. 
  • Fruiting trees as dispersal foci in a semi-deciduous tropical forest. 
  • Gendered movement ecology and landscape use in Hadza hunter-gatherers. 
  • General anesthetic and the risk of dementia in elderly patients: current insights. 
  • Genetic variance in fitness indicates rapid contemporary adaptive evolution in wild animals. 
  • Gerotechnology for Older Adults With Cardiovascular Diseases: JACC State-of-the-Art Review. 
  • Graph models of habitat mosaics 
  • Graph theory as a proxy for spatially explicit population models in conservation planning. 
  • Has the HIV epidemic in rural Mwanza, Tanzania reached a plateau? 
  • Health psychology: what will the future bring? 
  • Heterogeneity's ruses: some surprising effects of selection on population dynamics. 
  • Hierarchical organization via a facilitation cascade in intertidal cordgrass bed communities. 
  • Household and living arrangement projections at the subnational level: an extended cohort-component approach. 
  • How do plant ecologists use matrix population models? 
  • How mammalian predation contributes to tropical tree community structure. 
  • How many seeds does it take to make a sapling? 
  • Human impacts, disease risk, and population dynamics in the chimpanzees of Gombe National Park, Tanzania. 
  • Hybridization can facilitate species invasions, even without enhancing local adaptation. 
  • Hybridization in postglacial marine habitats. 
  • Immigration and hybridization patterns of yellow and anubis baboons in and around Amboseli, Kenya. 
  • Impact of Simian Immunodeficiency Virus Infection on Chimpanzee Population Dynamics. 
  • Impact of demography and population dynamics on the genetic architecture of human longevity. 
  • Impacts of shrub encroachment on ecosystem structure and functioning: Towards a global synthesis 
  • Implications of long-term care capacity response policies for an aging population: a simulation analysis. 
  • Improving the quality of cancer care in an aging population: recommendations from an IOM report. 
  • Incorporating local adaptation into forecasts of species' distribution and abundance under climate change. 
  • Indirect effects of heavy metals on parasites may cause shifts in snail species compositions. 
  • Individual aging and mortality rate: how are they related? 
  • Individual-based chaos: extensions of the discrete logistic model. 
  • Individuals and the variation needed for high species diversity in forest trees. 
  • Inherent demographic stability in mutualist-resource-exploiter interactions. 
  • Integrating bioassessment and ecological risk assessment: an approach to developing numerical water-quality criteria. 
  • Integrating statistical genetic and geospatial methods brings new power to phylogeography. 
  • Is low fertility a twenty-first-century demographic crisis? 
  • Labor force participation and human capital increases in an aging population and implications for U.S. research investment. 
  • Latent possibility for a change of the fertility behaviors of rural-urban migrants. 
  • Lessons on pattern formation from planet WATOR. 
  • Lifecourse socioeconomic status and cancer-related risk factors: Analysis of the WHO study on global ageing and adult health (SAGE). 
  • Lifting baselines to address the consequences of conservation success. 
  • Linking populations to landscapes: richness scenarios resulting from changes in the dynamics of an ecosystem engineer. 
  • Long-term declines in nutritional quality of tropical leaves. 
  • Long-term passive acoustic recordings track the changing distribution of North Atlantic right whales (Eubalaena glacialis) from 2004 to 2014. 
  • Longevity can buffer plant and animal populations against changing climatic variability. 
  • Macroecological patterns of genetic structure and diversity in the aquatic moss Platyhypnidium riparioides. 
  • Male/female ratio in centenarians: a possible role played by population genetic structure. 
  • Marriage and fertility in China: 1950-1989. 
  • Mechanism matters: the cause of fluctuations in boom-bust populations governs optimal habitat restoration strategy. 
  • Methods for combining ancillary data in stochastic compartment models of cancer mortality: generalization of heterogeneity models. 
  • Methods for national population forecasts: a review. 
  • Migration and fishing in Indonesian coastal villages. 
  • Migration and household/family structure: Puerto Ricans in the United States. 
  • Migration in the urban-rural hierarchy of China: insights from the microdata of the 1987 National Survey. 
  • Migration patterns of recent medical school graduates. 
  • Modeling nonlinear effects in longitudinal survival data: implications for the physiological dynamics of biological systems. 
  • Modeling spatiotemporal dynamics of bacterial populations. 
  • Morphometric signals of population decline in diademed sifakas occupying degraded rainforest habitat in Madagascar. 
  • Mortality in Italy: contours of a century of evolution. 
  • Mortality in Vietnam, 1979-1989. 
  • Mortality patterns in developed countries. 
  • Multiple colonisations of the western Indian Ocean by Pteropus fruit bats (Megachiroptera: Pteropodidae): the furthest islands were colonised first. 
  • Mutualism between consumers and their shared resource can promote competitive coexistence. 
  • Mycobacterium tuberculosis Beijing family: analysis of the epidemiological and clinical factors associated with an emerging lineage in the urban area of Milan. 
  • Natal emigration by both sexes in the La Pacifica population of mantled howlers: when do some stay? 
  • Natural experiment demonstrates that bird loss leads to cessation of dispersal of native seeds from intact to degraded forests. 
  • Natural selection of memory-one strategies for the iterated prisoner's dilemma. 
  • Neighborhood structure, parenting processes, and the development of youths' externalizing behaviors: a multilevel analysis. 
  • North Atlantic right whales in crisis 
  • Oceanic islands are not sinks of biodiversity in spore-producing plants. 
  • On population growth near protected areas. 
  • Parasitism in species of Bathymodiolus (Bivalvia: Mytilidae) mussels from deep-sea seep and hydrothermal vents. 
  • Patch size-dependent community recovery after massive disturbance. 
  • Pattern and process in Amazon tree turnover, 1976-2001. 
  • Pervasive migration across rainforest and sandy coastal plain Aechmea nudicaulis (Bromeliaceae) populations despite contrasting environmental conditions. 
  • Plant population dynamics, pollinator foraging, and the selection of self-fertilization. 
  • Poaching empties critical Central African wilderness of forest elephants. 
  • Political economy of marine reserves: understanding the role of opportunity costs. 
  • Population and prehistory I: Food-dependent population growth in constant environments. 
  • Population and prehistory III: food-dependent demography in variable environments. 
  • Population dynamics of a meiotic/mitotic expansion model for the fragile X syndrome. 
  • Population genetics of a trochid gastropod broadens picture of Caribbean Sea connectivity. 
  • Population outbreaks in a discrete world. 
  • Post-invasion demography of prehistoric humans in South America. 
  • Poverty, race/ethnicity, and psychiatric disorder: a study of rural children. 
  • Predator diversity stabilizes and strengthens trophic control of a keystone grazer. 
  • Predicting changes in the distribution and abundance of species under environmental change. 
  • Predicting population survival under future climate change: density dependence, drought and extraction in an insular bighorn sheep. 
  • Prevalence and strength of density-dependent tree recruitment. 
  • Primate population dynamics over 32.9 years at Ngogo, Kibale National Park, Uganda. 
  • Prison Population Reductions and COVID-19: A Latent Profile Analysis Synthesizing Recent Evidence From the Texas State Prison System. 
  • Pro-environmental behavior: rational choice meets moral motivation. 
  • Progressive island colonization and ancient origin of Hawaiian Metrosideros (Myrtaceae). 
  • Projecting the future size and health status of the U.S. elderly population. 
  • Projecting the need for gynecologic oncologists for the next 40 years. 
  • Property structures, demography and the crisis of the agrarian economy of colonial Bombay Presidency. 
  • Provincial and Age Disparity on Chronic Disease Education Among Migrants in China: The Migrants Population Dynamic Monitoring Survey. 
  • Psychiatry's Opportunity to Prevent the Rising Burden of Age-Related Disease. 
  • Quantifying Nearshore Sea Turtle Densities: Applications of Unmanned Aerial Systems for Population Assessments 
  • Quantitative analysis of forest fragmentation in the atlantic forest reveals more threatened bird species than the current red list. 
  • Ranging patterns and parasitism in primates. 
  • Relaxed selection in the wild. 
  • Repeated range expansion and glacial endurance of Potentilla glabra (Rosaceae) in the Qinghai-Tibetan plateau. 
  • Reproduction and population growth in free-ranging mantled howling monkeys. 
  • Reproductive uncertainty and the relative competitiveness of simultaneous hermaphroditism versus dioecy. 
  • Residential Mobility and Cognitive Function Among Middle-Aged and Older Adults in China. 
  • Resource-dependent movement and the speed of biological invasions. 
  • Restricted emigration, system inescapability, and defense of the status quo: system-justifying consequences of restricted exit opportunities. 
  • Rhizobium gone native: unexpected plasmid stability of indigenous Rhizobium leguminosarum. 
  • Rich before old? 
  • Savanna elephant numbers are only a quarter of their expected values. 
  • Saving the vaquita: immediate action, not more data. 
  • Seasonal variation in the spatial distribution of basking sharks (Cetorhinus maximus) in the lower Bay of Fundy, Canada. 
  • Secondary transfer of adult mantled howlers (Alouatta palliata) on Hacienda La Pacifica, Costa Rica: 1975-2009. 
  • Selection for intermediate mortality and reproduction rates in a spatially structured population. 
  • Self-fertilization and the escape from pollen limitation in variable pollination environments. 
  • Sensitivity analysis for unmeasured confounding in principal stratification settings with binary variables. 
  • Simultaneous effects of food limitation and inducible resistance on herbivore population dynamics. 
  • Size-abundance relationships in an Amazonian bird community: implications for the energetic equivalence rule. 
  • Some problems of future demographic processes in China. 
  • Spousal-residence separation among Chinese young couples. 
  • Spread of North American wind-dispersed trees in future environments 
  • Stability of forest biodiversity. 
  • Substrate-dependent fish have shifted less in distribution under climate change. 
  • Survival of related individuals: an extension of some fundamental results of heterogeneity analysis. 
  • Targeting lifesaving: demographic linkages between population structure and life expectancy. 
  • The Boserup theory of agricultural growth: a model for anthropological economics. 
  • The Household Registration System: computer software for the rapid dissemination of demographic surveillance systems. 
  • The biodiversity of species and their rates of extinction, distribution, and protection. 
  • The black/white mortality crossover: possible racial differences in the intrinsic rate of aging. 
  • The conflicting role of matrix habitats as conduits and barriers for dispersal. 
  • The demographic consequences of mutualism: ants increase host-plant fruit production but not population growth. 
  • The diversity of population responses to environmental change. 
  • The dynamics of population aging: demography and policy analysis. 
  • The effects of climate change on harp seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus). 
  • The effects of health histories on stochastic process models of aging and mortality. 
  • The effects of mortality on fertility: population dynamics after a natural disaster. 
  • The founding of Mauritian endemic coffee trees by a synchronous long-distance dispersal event. 
  • The geography of demography: long-term demographic studies and species distribution models reveal a species border limited by adaptation. 
  • The impact of host immune status on the within-host and population dynamics of antigenic immune escape. 
  • The influence of neighbor relatedness on multilevel selection in the Great Lakes sea rocket. 
  • The more things change, the more they stay the same? When is trait variability important for stability of ecosystem function in a changing environment. 
  • The relative influences of host plant genotype and yearly abiotic variability in determining herbivore abundance. 
  • The scale of population structure in Arabidopsis thaliana 
  • The sensory impacts of climate change: bathymetric shifts and visually mediated interactions in aquatic species. 
  • Three-way coexistence in obligate mutualist-exploiter interactions: the potential role of competition. 
  • Toward a trophic theory of species diversity. 
  • Toward an ecological classification of soil bacteria. 
  • Tree recruitment in an empty forest. 
  • Trends in Stranding and By-Catch Rates of Gray and Harbor Seals along the Northeastern Coast of the United States: Evidence of Divergence in the Abundance of Two Sympatric Phocid Species? 
  • Trophic cascades in rocky shore tide pools: distinguishing lethal and nonlethal effects. 
  • Trophic downgrading of planet Earth. 
  • Two-sex population dynamics in space: effects of gestation time on persistence. 
  • Underrepresentation of older adults in cancer trials--reply. 
  • Understanding long-term primate community dynamics: implications of forest change. 
  • Understanding movement data and movement processes: current and emerging directions 
  • Understanding strategies for seed dispersal by wind under contrasting atmospheric conditions. 
  • Using Social Networks to Sample Migrants and Study the Complexity of Contemporary Immigration: An Evaluation Study. 
  • Using hierarchical bayes to understand movement, health, and survival in the endangered north atlantic right whale. 
  • Using metapopulation theory for practical conservation of mangrove endemic birds. 
  • Variability in reproductive success viewed from a life-history perspective in baboons. 
  • Vertebrate herbivory impacts seedling recruitment more than niche partitioning or density-dependent mortality. 
  • Watershed urbanization alters the composition and function of stream bacterial communities. 
  • What are the causes of late-life depression? 
  • What can decision analysis do for invasive species management? 
  • Working at the interface of phylogenetics and population genetics: a biogeographical analysis of Triaenops spp. (Chiroptera: Hipposideridae). 
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  Keywords of People

  • Alberts, Susan C., Robert F. Durden Distinguished Professor of Biology, Duke Science & Society
  • Berchuck, Andrew, James M. Ingram Distinguished Professor of Gynecologic Oncology, Obstetrics and Gynecology, Gynecologic Oncology
  • Berger, Miles, Associate Professor of Anesthesiology, Duke Science & Society
  • Durrett, Richard Timothy, James B. Duke Distinguished Professor of Mathematics, Mathematics
  • Merli, M. Giovanna, Professor in the Sanford School of Public Policy, Duke Global Health Institute
  • Pimm, Stuart L., Doris Duke Distinguished Professor of Conservation Ecology in the Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences, Duke Science & Society
  • Urban, Dean L., Professor of Environmental Sciences and Policy, Environmental Sciences and Policy