Uncertainty

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  Subject Areas on Research

  • A Bayesian uncertainty analysis of cetacean demography and bycatch mortality using age-at-death data. 
  • A DECISION-ANALYTIC FRAMEWORK FOR ENVIRONMENTAL-ANALYSIS AND SIMULATION MODELING 
  • A TCP model incorporating setup uncertainty and tumor cell density variation in microscopic extension to guide treatment planning. 
  • A dose-reconstruction study of the 1997 Sarov criticality accident using animated dosimetry techniques. 
  • A method to correct for spectral artifacts in optical-CT dosimetry. 
  • Against Psychosis: A Review of Roman Frydman and Michael D. Goldberg’s Beyond Mechanical Markets: Asset Price Swings, Risk, and the Role of the State 
  • Air kerma based dosimetry calibration for the Leksell Gamma Knife. 
  • An analysis of the uncertainty and bias in DCE-MRI measurements using the spoiled gradient-recalled echo pulse sequence. 
  • Analysis of parametric uncertainty propagation in detailed combustion chemistry 
  • Analysis of uncertainties in Monte Carlo simulated organ and effective dose in chest CT: scanner- and scan-related factors. 
  • Assessment of water quality management with a systematic qualitative uncertainty analysis. 
  • BRCA1 testing in families with hereditary breast-ovarian cancer. A prospective study of patient decision making and outcomes. 
  • Balancing Cost and Emissions Certainty: An Allowance Reserve for Cap-and-Trade 
  • Behavioral equipoise: a way to resolve ethical stalemates in clinical research. 
  • Benefits, risk, and uncertainty: preferences of antiretroviral-naïve African Americans for HIV treatments. 
  • Clinical commentary on "Certain uncertainty: life after stroke from the patient's perspective". 
  • Communication Challenges in Neonatal Encephalopathy. 
  • Cost-effectiveness of antiplatelet agents in secondary stroke prevention: the limits of certainty. 
  • Discounting the Distant Future: How Much Do Uncertain Rates Increase Valuations? 
  • Economic and environmental costs of regulatory uncertainty for coal-fired power plants. 
  • Eliciting benefit-risk preferences and probability-weighted utility using choice-format conjoint analysis. 
  • Estimating Preferences for Complex Health Technologies: Lessons Learned and Implications for Personalized Medicine. 
  • Estimating live birth rates after ovulation induction in polycystic ovary syndrome: sample size calculations for the pregnancy in polycystic ovary syndrome trial. 
  • Estimating the Confidence Interval for the Optimal Marketing Mix: An Application to Lead Generation 
  • Evidence strength in FDA premarket approval of cardiovascular devices. 
  • Five-year-olds do not show ambiguity aversion in a risk and ambiguity task with physical objects. 
  • Four-dimensional patient dose reconstruction for scanned ion beam therapy of moving liver tumors. 
  • From efficacy to safety concerns: a STEP forward or a step back for clinical research and intercessory prayer? The Study of Therapeutic Effects of Intercessory Prayer (STEP). 
  • Helping patients decide: ten steps to better risk communication. 
  • How Should Benefits and Costs Be Discounted in an Intergenerational Context? The Views of an Expert Panel 
  • IMPORTANCE OF SCIENTIFIC UNCERTAINTY IN DECISION-MAKING 
  • Informed consent. From bodily invasion to the seemingly mundane. 
  • Integration of ecological-biological thresholds in conservation decision making. 
  • Investigation momentum: the relentless pursuit to resolve uncertainty. 
  • Lessons from risk assessment 
  • Linked Sensitivity Analysis, Calibration, and Uncertainty Analysis Using a System Dynamics Model for Stroke Comparative Effectiveness Research. 
  • Low- and high-testosterone individuals exhibit decreased aversion to economic risk. 
  • Lucien Karpik Valuing the Unique: The Economics of Singularities. Princeton, Princeton University Press, 2010 
  • Malaria vaccine efficacy: the difficulty of detecting and diagnosing malaria. 
  • Managing Costs in a U.S. Greenhouse Gas Trading Program: A Workshop Summary 
  • Manifestations and implications of uncertainty for improving healthcare systems: an analysis of observational and interventional studies grounded in complexity science. 
  • Mass detection on mammograms: influence of signal shape uncertainty on human and model observers. 
  • Measuring illness uncertainty in men undergoing active surveillance for prostate cancer. 
  • Neural Mechanisms of Uncertainty Processing in Children with Autism Spectrum Disorders 
  • Neural signatures of economic preferences for risk and ambiguity. 
  • Neurons in posterior cingulate cortex signal exploratory decisions in a dynamic multioption choice task. 
  • Not noisy, just wrong: the role of suboptimal inference in behavioral variability. 
  • On uncertainty in medical testing. 
  • Patient expectations of benefit from phase I clinical trials: linguistic considerations in diagnosing a therapeutic misconception. 
  • Patient experiences of acute myeloid leukemia: A qualitative study about diagnosis, illness understanding, and treatment decision-making. 
  • Patient-Centered Communication for Discussing Oncotype DX Testing. 
  • Patients with chronic hepatitis C undergoing watchful waiting: Exploring trajectories of illness uncertainty and fatigue. 
  • Prediction uncertainty and optimal experimental design for learning dynamical systems. 
  • Primary care providers' response to the US Preventive Services Task Force draft recommendations on screening for prostate cancer. 
  • Psychosocial aspects of active surveillance. 
  • Quantification and minimization of uncertainties of internal target volume for stereotactic body radiation therapy of lung cancer. 
  • Randomized trial of an uncertainty self-management telephone intervention for patients awaiting liver transplant. 
  • Rapid evolutionary innovation during an Archaean genetic expansion. 
  • Recognizing bedside rationing: clear cases and tough calls. 
  • Regulating Stock Externalities under Uncertainty 
  • Reporting of uncertainty at the 2013 annual meeting of the American Society for Radiation Oncology. 
  • Research in academic medical centers: two threats to sustainable support. 
  • Resting on laurels: the effects of discrete progress markers as subgoals on task performance and preferences. 
  • Risk preferences and aging: the "certainty effect" in older adults' decision making. 
  • Risky business: the neuroeconomics of decision making under uncertainty. 
  • Satisfaction of the uncertainty principle in cancer clinical trials: retrospective cohort analysis. 
  • Science and behavior. 
  • Search for new physics in high pT like-sign dilepton events at CDF II. 
  • Special report: workshop on 4D-treatment planning in actively scanned particle therapy--recommendations, technical challenges, and future research directions. 
  • Strategic planning to reduce the burden of stroke among veterans: using simulation modeling to inform decision making. 
  • Surrogates' perceptions about feeding tube placement decisions. 
  • The Challenges of Analyzing Behavioral Response Study Data: An Overview of the MOCHA (Multi-study OCean Acoustics Human Effects Analysis) Project. 
  • The egoism and altruism of intergenerational behavior. 
  • The experimental imperative. 
  • The optimal choice of climate change policy in the presence of uncertainty 
  • The performance of a reduced-order adaptive controller when used in multi-antenna hyperthermia treatments with nonlinear temperature-dependent perfusion. 
  • The role of local backrub motions in evolved and designed mutations. 
  • The role of pedunculopontine nucleus in choice behavior under risk. 
  • The uncertainty principle and industry-sponsored research. 
  • Tropical Forest Protection, Uncertainty, and the Environmental Integrity of Carbon Mitigation Policies 
  • Uncertainty in allometric exponent estimation: a case study in scaling metabolic rate with body mass. 
  • Uncertainty intervention for watchful waiting in prostate cancer. 
  • Uncertainty, imprecision, and the precautionary principle in climate change assessment. 
  • Vaginal native tissue repair versus transvaginal mesh repair for apical prolapse: how utilizing different methods of analysis affects the estimated trade-off between reoperation for mesh exposure/erosion and reoperation for recurrent prolapse. 
  • Varieties of uncertainty and the validity of informed consent. 
  • Watching, waiting and uncertainty in prostate cancer. 
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  Keywords of People

  • Gavin, Henri P., Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Duke University Energy Initiative
  • Guilleminot, Johann, Assistant Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Civil and Environmental Engineering
  • Huettel, Scott, Professor in the Department of Psychology and Neuroscience, Duke Science & Society
  • Li, Rosa, Postdoctoral Associate, Psychology and Neuroscience
  • Newell, Richard G., Adjunct Professor, Environmental Sciences and Policy
  • Pfaff, Alexander, Professor in the Sanford School of Public Policy, Duke University Energy Initiative
  • Pizer, Billy, Professor in the Sanford School of Public Policy, Duke Science & Society
  • Roy Choudhury, Kingshuk, Associate Professor of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Biostatistics & Bioinformatics
  • Segars, William Paul, Associate Professor in Radiology, Biomedical Engineering