Uncertainty

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  Subject Areas on Research

  • A Bayesian uncertainty analysis of cetacean demography and bycatch mortality using age-at-death data. 
  • A TCP model incorporating setup uncertainty and tumor cell density variation in microscopic extension to guide treatment planning. 
  • A dose-reconstruction study of the 1997 Sarov criticality accident using animated dosimetry techniques. 
  • A gel-free MS-based quantitative proteomic approach accurately measures cytochrome P450 protein concentrations in human liver microsomes. 
  • A method to correct for spectral artifacts in optical-CT dosimetry. 
  • A parieto-medial temporal pathway for the strategic control over working memory biases in human visual attention. 
  • Accounting for uncertainty in ecological analysis: the strengths and limitations of hierarchical statistical modeling. 
  • Air kerma based dosimetry calibration for the Leksell Gamma Knife. 
  • An Internet intervention for management of uncertainty during active surveillance for prostate cancer. 
  • An analysis of the uncertainty and bias in DCE-MRI measurements using the spoiled gradient-recalled echo pulse sequence. 
  • Analysis of uncertainties in Monte Carlo simulated organ and effective dose in chest CT: scanner- and scan-related factors. 
  • Aporia in Medicine. 
  • Assessment of water quality management with a systematic qualitative uncertainty analysis. 
  • Behavioral equipoise: a way to resolve ethical stalemates in clinical research. 
  • Benefits of the uncertainty management intervention for African American and White older breast cancer survivors: 20-month outcomes. 
  • Benefits, risk, and uncertainty: preferences of antiretroviral-naïve African Americans for HIV treatments. 
  • Changes in the Delivery of Veterans Affairs Cancer Care: Ensuring Delivery of Coordinated, Quality Cancer Care in a Time of Uncertainty. 
  • Clinical commentary on "Certain uncertainty: life after stroke from the patient's perspective". 
  • Communication Challenges in Neonatal Encephalopathy. 
  • Compassion in a Crisis: The Role of Palliative Care During the COVID-19 Pandemic. 
  • Cost-effectiveness of antiplatelet agents in secondary stroke prevention: the limits of certainty. 
  • Current status, uncertainty and future needs in soil organic carbon monitoring. 
  • Economic and environmental costs of regulatory uncertainty for coal-fired power plants. 
  • Effective health communication - a key factor in fighting the COVID-19 pandemic. 
  • Eliciting benefit-risk preferences and probability-weighted utility using choice-format conjoint analysis. 
  • Estimating Preferences for Complex Health Technologies: Lessons Learned and Implications for Personalized Medicine. 
  • Estimating live birth rates after ovulation induction in polycystic ovary syndrome: sample size calculations for the pregnancy in polycystic ovary syndrome trial. 
  • Evaluation of dosimetric uncertainty caused by MR geometric distortion in MRI-based liver SBRT treatment planning. 
  • Evidence strength in FDA premarket approval of cardiovascular devices. 
  • Evidence-based medicine in otolaryngology, Part 3: everyday probabilities: diagnostic tests with binary results. 
  • Evolution of the United States Energy System and Related Emissions under Varying Social and Technological Development Paradigms: Plausible Scenarios for Use in Robust Decision Making. 
  • Expected Reward Value and Reward Uncertainty Have Temporally Dissociable Effects on Memory Formation. 
  • Five-year-olds do not show ambiguity aversion in a risk and ambiguity task with physical objects. 
  • From efficacy to safety concerns: a STEP forward or a step back for clinical research and intercessory prayer? The Study of Therapeutic Effects of Intercessory Prayer (STEP). 
  • GRADE Guidelines: 19. Assessing the certainty of evidence in the importance of outcomes or values and preferences-Risk of bias and indirectness. 
  • Genetic evidence and integration of various data sources for classifying uncertain variants into a single model. 
  • Global Burden of Hypertension and Systolic Blood Pressure of at Least 110 to 115 mm Hg, 1990-2015. 
  • Global soil nitrous oxide emissions since the preindustrial era estimated by an ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models: Magnitude, attribution, and uncertainty. 
  • Helping patients decide: ten steps to better risk communication. 
  • Illness uncertainty, partner support, and quality of life: A dyadic longitudinal investigation of couples facing prostate cancer. 
  • In reply to Kumar et al. 
  • Informed consent. From bodily invasion to the seemingly mundane. 
  • Integration of ecological-biological thresholds in conservation decision making. 
  • Inter-laboratory comparison of channelized hotelling observer computation. 
  • Investigation momentum: the relentless pursuit to resolve uncertainty. 
  • Linked Sensitivity Analysis, Calibration, and Uncertainty Analysis Using a System Dynamics Model for Stroke Comparative Effectiveness Research. 
  • Low- and high-testosterone individuals exhibit decreased aversion to economic risk. 
  • Malaria vaccine efficacy: the difficulty of detecting and diagnosing malaria. 
  • Manifestations and implications of uncertainty for improving healthcare systems: an analysis of observational and interventional studies grounded in complexity science. 
  • Mapping routine measles vaccination in low- and middle-income countries. 
  • Mass detection on mammograms: influence of signal shape uncertainty on human and model observers. 
  • Measuring illness uncertainty in men undergoing active surveillance for prostate cancer. 
  • Neural signatures of economic preferences for risk and ambiguity. 
  • Neurons in posterior cingulate cortex signal exploratory decisions in a dynamic multioption choice task. 
  • Not noisy, just wrong: the role of suboptimal inference in behavioral variability. 
  • On uncertainty in medical testing. 
  • Out of the black box: expansion of a theory-based intervention to self-manage the uncertainty associated with active surveillance (AS) for prostate cancer. 
  • Outcomes of an uncertainty management intervention in younger African American and Caucasian breast cancer survivors. 
  • Parent experience of caring for neonates with seizures. 
  • Patient expectations of benefit from phase I clinical trials: linguistic considerations in diagnosing a therapeutic misconception. 
  • Patient experiences of acute myeloid leukemia: A qualitative study about diagnosis, illness understanding, and treatment decision-making. 
  • Patient-Centered Communication for Discussing Oncotype DX Testing. 
  • Patients with chronic hepatitis C undergoing watchful waiting: Exploring trajectories of illness uncertainty and fatigue. 
  • Postprocedural Antithrombotic Therapy Following Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion: No Longer Adrift in Uncertainty? 
  • Prediction uncertainty and optimal experimental design for learning dynamical systems. 
  • Primary care providers' response to the US Preventive Services Task Force draft recommendations on screening for prostate cancer. 
  • Primate extinction risk and historical patterns of speciation and extinction in relation to body mass. 
  • Probabilistic inferential decision-making under time pressure in rhesus macaques (Macaca mulatta). 
  • Psychosocial Profiles of Parents of Children with Undiagnosed Diseases: Managing Well or Just Managing? 
  • Psychosocial aspects of active surveillance. 
  • Quantification and minimization of uncertainties of internal target volume for stereotactic body radiation therapy of lung cancer. 
  • Quantifying uncertainty in the phylogenetics of Australian numeral systems. 
  • Randomized trial of an uncertainty self-management telephone intervention for patients awaiting liver transplant. 
  • Rapid evolutionary innovation during an Archaean genetic expansion. 
  • Real-time dose-rate monitoring with gynecologic brachytherapy: Results of an initial clinical trial. 
  • Recognizing bedside rationing: clear cases and tough calls. 
  • Religious belief as compensatory control. 
  • Reporting of uncertainty at the 2013 annual meeting of the American Society for Radiation Oncology. 
  • Research in academic medical centers: two threats to sustainable support. 
  • Resting on laurels: the effects of discrete progress markers as subgoals on task performance and preferences. 
  • Risk preferences and aging: the "certainty effect" in older adults' decision making. 
  • Risky business: the neuroeconomics of decision making under uncertainty. 
  • Role of future scenarios in understanding deep uncertainty in long-term air quality management. 
  • Satisfaction of the uncertainty principle in cancer clinical trials: retrospective cohort analysis. 
  • Science and behavior. 
  • Search for new physics in high pT like-sign dilepton events at CDF II. 
  • Special report: workshop on 4D-treatment planning in actively scanned particle therapy--recommendations, technical challenges, and future research directions. 
  • Spouse and Patient Beliefs and Perceptions About Chronic Pain: Effects on Couple Interactions and Patient Pain Behavior. 
  • Strategic control in decision-making under uncertainty. 
  • Strategic planning to reduce the burden of stroke among veterans: using simulation modeling to inform decision making. 
  • Surrogates' perceptions about feeding tube placement decisions. 
  • The Challenges of Analyzing Behavioral Response Study Data: An Overview of the MOCHA (Multi-study OCean Acoustics Human Effects Analysis) Project. 
  • The Impact of Set-Up Uncertainty on Dose-Response Estimates. 
  • The Value of Information in Decision-Analytic Modeling for Malaria Vector Control in East Africa 
  • The egoism and altruism of intergenerational behavior. 
  • The experimental imperative. 
  • The performance of a reduced-order adaptive controller when used in multi-antenna hyperthermia treatments with nonlinear temperature-dependent perfusion. 
  • The role of local backrub motions in evolved and designed mutations. 
  • The role of pedunculopontine nucleus in choice behavior under risk. 
  • The uncertainty principle and industry-sponsored research. 
  • The view for cord blood is "cup half full" not "cup half empty". 
  • Touching beliefs: Using touchscreen technology to elicit subjective expectations in survey research. 
  • Transparent stakeholder engagement in practice: Lessons learned from applying comprehensive environmental assessment to research planning for nanomaterials. 
  • Triggers of uncertainty about recurrence and long-term treatment side effects in older African American and Caucasian breast cancer survivors. 
  • Uncertainty and Certainty. 
  • Uncertainty and Certainty: Reply. 
  • Uncertainty and perception of danger among patients undergoing treatment for prostate cancer. 
  • Uncertainty intervention for watchful waiting in prostate cancer. 
  • Uncertainty, imprecision, and the precautionary principle in climate change assessment. 
  • Understanding Adult Participant and Parent Empowerment Prior to Evaluation in the Undiagnosed Diseases Network. 
  • Vaginal native tissue repair versus transvaginal mesh repair for apical prolapse: how utilizing different methods of analysis affects the estimated trade-off between reoperation for mesh exposure/erosion and reoperation for recurrent prolapse. 
  • Varieties of uncertainty and the validity of informed consent. 
  • Videos to reduce racial disparities in ICD therapy Via Innovative Designs (VIVID) trial: Rational, design and methodology. 
  • Watchful waiting: role of disease progression on uncertainty and depressive symptoms in patients with chronic hepatitis C. 
  • Watching, waiting and uncertainty in prostate cancer. 
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  Keywords of People

  • Gavin, Henri P., Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Duke University Energy Initiative
  • Guilleminot, Johann, Assistant Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Civil and Environmental Engineering
  • Huettel, Scott, Professor in the Department of Psychology and Neuroscience, Duke Science & Society
  • Li, Rosa, Visiting Assistant Professor, Psychology and Neuroscience
  • Newell, Richard G., Adjunct Professor, Environmental Sciences and Policy
  • Pfaff, Alexander, Professor in the Sanford School of Public Policy, Duke Science & Society
  • Pizer, Billy, Professor in the Sanford School of Public Policy, Duke Science & Society
  • Roy Choudhury, Kingshuk, Adjunct Associate Professor in the Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Biostatistics & Bioinformatics
  • Segars, William Paul, Associate Professor in Radiology, Radiology