Climate Change

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  Subject Areas on Research

  • A 130-year global inventory of methane emissions from livestock: Trends, patterns, and drivers. 
  • A large and persistent carbon sink in the world's forests. 
  • A mechanistic-bioclimatic modeling analysis of the potential impact of climate change on biomes of the Tibetan Plateau. 
  • A strategy for the conservation of biodiversity on mid-ocean ridges from deep-sea mining. 
  • A study of anthropogenic and climatic disturbance of the New River Estuary using a Bayesian belief network. 
  • A synthesis of current knowledge on forests and carbon storage in the United States. 
  • Aridity weakens population-level effects of multiple species interactions on Hibiscus meyeri . 
  • Attribution of climate forcing to economic sectors. 
  • Benefits and costs of improved cookstoves: assessing the implications of variability in health, forest and climate impacts. 
  • Between-site differences in the scale of dispersal and gene flow in red oak. 
  • Biodiversity and REDD at Copenhagen. 
  • Biogas Stoves Reduce Firewood Use, Household Air Pollution, and Hospital Visits in Odisha, India. 
  • Biotic and anthropogenic forces rival climatic/abiotic factors in determining global plant population growth and fitness. 
  • Blood pressure management in an ecosystem context. 
  • Boreal forests' carbon stores need better management. 
  • Both life-history plasticity and local adaptation will shape range-wide responses to climate warming in the tundra plant Silene acaulis. 
  • Centuries of human-driven change in salt marsh ecosystems. 
  • Climate Change, Human Impacts, and Coastal Ecosystems in the Anthropocene. 
  • Climate adaptation and policy-induced inflation of coastal property value. 
  • Climate and air-quality benefits of a realistic phase-out of fossil fuels. 
  • Climate change and the integrity of science. 
  • Climate change impacts on population growth across a species' range differ due to nonlinear responses of populations to climate and variation in rates of climate change. 
  • Climate change, disease range shifts, and the future of the Africa lion. 
  • Climate change. Fixing a critical climate accounting error. 
  • Climate warming threatens the persistence of a community of disturbance-adapted native annual plants. 
  • Climate-driven risks to the climate mitigation potential of forests. 
  • Competition-interaction landscapes for the joint response of forests to climate change. 
  • Compositional response of Amazon forests to climate change. 
  • Connecting differential responses of native and invasive riparian plants to climate change and environmental alteration. 
  • Constraints to species' elevational range shifts as climate changes. 
  • Continent-wide tree fecundity driven by indirect climate effects. 
  • Contingency in ecosystem but not plant community response to multiple global change factors 
  • Crops of the future: building a climate-resilient plant immune system. 
  • Determination of elemental baseline using peltigeralean lichens from Northeastern Canada (Québec): Initial data collection for long term monitoring of the impact of global climate change on boreal and subarctic area in Canada. 
  • Development of the Low Emissions Analysis Platform - Integrated Benefits Calculator (LEAP-IBC) tool to assess air quality and climate co-benefits: Application for Bangladesh. 
  • Differentiating the Effects of Climate Change-Induced Temperature and Streamflow Changes on the Vulnerability of Once-Through Thermoelectric Power Plants. 
  • Does climate variability influence the demography of wild primates? Evidence from long-term life-history data in seven species. 
  • Driving forces of global wildfires over the past millennium and the forthcoming century. 
  • Dual impacts of climate change: forest migration and turnover through life history. 
  • Ecological and evolutionary impacts of changing climatic variability. 
  • Ecological significance of mitochondrial toxicants. 
  • Ecosystem impacts of geoengineering: a review for developing a science plan. 
  • Ecosystem-based management for military training, biodiversity, carbon storage and climate resiliency on a complex coastal land/water-scape. 
  • Editorial: Infections of the immunocompromised host: a musing on the changing times. 
  • Elevational Ranges of Montane Birds and Deforestation in the Western Andes of Colombia. 
  • Environmental health in China: progress towards clean air and safe water. 
  • Environmental lessons from China: finding promising policies in unlikely places. 
  • Environmental stability impacts the differential sensitivity of marine microbiomes to increases in temperature and acidity. 
  • Epidemics on the move: Climate change and infectious disease. 
  • Estimating the Impacts of Local Policy Innovation: The Synthetic Control Method Applied to Tropical Deforestation. 
  • Evaluating the effects of climate change on summertime ozone using a relative response factor approach for policymakers. 
  • Evolution of the earliest horses driven by climate change in the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum. 
  • Evolutionary and ecological responses to anthropogenic climate change: update on anthropogenic climate change. 
  • FenyMon: ferry-based monitoring and assessment of human and climatically driven environmental change in the Albemarle-Pamlico sound system. 
  • Financing conservation by valuing carbon services produced by wild animals. 
  • Forest biogeochemistry in response to drought. 
  • Genetics of gene expression responses to temperature stress in a sea urchin gene network. 
  • Genomic Characterization of the Evolutionary Potential of the Sea Urchin Strongylocentrotus droebachiensis Facing Ocean Acidification. 
  • Genomic signatures of near-extinction and rebirth of the crested ibis and other endangered bird species. 
  • Getting Humans Off Monkeys' Backs: Using Primate Acclimation as a Guide for Habitat Management Efforts. 
  • Global air quality and health co-benefits of mitigating near-term climate change through methane and black carbon emission controls. 
  • Global soil nitrous oxide emissions since the preindustrial era estimated by an ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models: Magnitude, attribution, and uncertainty. 
  • Guidelines for Modeling and Reporting Health Effects of Climate Change Mitigation Actions. 
  • Habitat cascades: the conceptual context and global relevance of facilitation cascades via habitat formation and modification. 
  • Hidden Loss of Wetlands in China. 
  • Host density drives the postglacial migration of the tree parasite, Epifagus virginiana. 
  • Hotter and sicker: External energy expenditure and the tangled evolutionary roots of anthropogenic climate change and chronic disease. 
  • Hydrologic resilience and Amazon productivity. 
  • Iconic CO2 time series at risk. 
  • Impacts of climate change drivers on C4 grassland productivity: scaling driver effects through the plant community. 
  • Implications of shale gas development for climate change 
  • Incidence and biomarkers of pregnancy, spontaneous abortion, and neonatal loss during an environmental stressor: Implications for female reproductive suppression in the cooperatively breeding meerkat. 
  • Incorporating local adaptation into forecasts of species' distribution and abundance under climate change. 
  • Increased dry-season length over southern Amazonia in recent decades and its implication for future climate projection 
  • Increased labor losses and decreased adaptation potential in a warmer world. 
  • Increasing atmospheric humidity and CO₂ concentration alleviate forest mortality risk. 
  • Indigenous lands, protected areas, and slowing climate change. 
  • Individual-scale inference to anticipate climate-change vulnerability of biodiversity. 
  • Inflammation Gets on the Lung's Nerves: IL-17 and Neuroendocrine Cells Mediate Ozone Responses in Obesity. 
  • Informing climate models with rapid chamber measurements of forest carbon uptake. 
  • Insights into coral bleaching under heat stress from analysis of gene expression in a sea anemone model system. 
  • Integrated ocean management for a sustainable ocean economy. 
  • Integrating climate adaptation and biodiversity conservation in the global ocean. 
  • Interacting effects of land use and climate on rodent-borne pathogens in central Kenya. 
  • Interactive effects of nocturnal transpiration and climate change on the root hydraulic redistribution and carbon and water budgets of southern United States pine plantations. 
  • Latitudinal gradients in population growth do not reflect demographic responses to climate. 
  • Linking species traits and demography to explain complex temperature responses across levels of organization. 
  • Local management actions can increase coral resilience to thermally-induced bleaching. 
  • Long-term declines in nutritional quality of tropical leaves. 
  • Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth's tropical forests. 
  • Measuring canopy loss and climatic thresholds from an extreme drought along a fivefold precipitation gradient across Texas. 
  • Measuring environmental change in forest ecosystems by repeated soil sampling: a north american perspective. 
  • Megafauna and ecosystem function from the Pleistocene to the Anthropocene. 
  • Modeling daily flowering probabilities: expected impact of climate change on Japanese cherry phenology. 
  • More than the sum of the parts: forest climate response from joint species distribution models. 
  • Multiscale phenological niches of seed fall in diverse Amazonian plant communities. 
  • Mutualism meltdown in insects: bacteria constrain thermal adaptation. 
  • Natural enemies govern ecosystem resilience in the face of extreme droughts. 
  • Networking our science to characterize the state, vulnerabilities, and management opportunities of soil organic matter. 
  • North American tree migration paced by climate in the West, lagging in the East. 
  • Opportunities and challenges for nanotechnology in the agri-tech revolution. 
  • Overlapping Crises: Climate Disaster Susceptibility and Incarceration. 
  • Parallel assay of oxygen equilibria of hemoglobin. 
  • Patch size-dependent community recovery after massive disturbance. 
  • Peatmoss (Sphagnum) diversification associated with Miocene Northern Hemisphere climatic cooling? 
  • Pervasive shifts in forest dynamics in a changing world. 
  • Phylogeography's past, present, and future: 10 years after Avise, 2000. 
  • Plant-Microbe Interactions Facing Environmental Challenge. 
  • Plant-Pathogen Warfare under Changing Climate Conditions. 
  • Political ideology affects energy-efficiency attitudes and choices. 
  • Predicting changes in the distribution and abundance of species under environmental change. 
  • Quantifying surface albedo and other direct biogeophysical climate forcings of forestry activities. 
  • Range change evolution of peat mosses (Sphagnum) within and between climate zones. 
  • Rapid deforestation of a coastal landscape driven by sea-level rise and extreme events. 
  • Rebuilding relationships on coral reefs: Coral bleaching knowledge-sharing to aid adaptation planning for reef users: Bleaching emergence on reefs demonstrates the need to consider reef scale and accessibility when preparing for, and responding to, coral bleaching. 
  • Reconciling oil palm expansion and climate change mitigation in Kalimantan, Indonesia. 
  • Reducing greenhouse gas emissions and adapting agricultural management for climate change in developing countries: providing the basis for action. 
  • Refining national greenhouse gas inventories. 
  • Resistance of African tropical forests to an extreme climate anomaly. 
  • Rethinking the Gulf stream. 
  • Riparian buffers increase future baseflow and reduce peakflows in a developing watershed. 
  • Risks and risk governance in unconventional shale gas development. 
  • Scenarios for modeling solar radiation modification. 
  • Science for a wilder Anthropocene: Synthesis and future directions for trophic rewilding research. 
  • Simultaneously mitigating near-term climate change and improving human health and food security. 
  • Solution Aversion: On the Relation Between Ideology and Motivated Disbelief 
  • Spatial models of giant pandas under current and future conditions reveal extinction risks. 
  • Sphagnum physiology in the context of changing climate: emergent influences of genomics, modelling and host-microbiome interactions on understanding ecosystem function. 
  • Spread of North American wind-dispersed trees in future environments 
  • Substrate-dependent fish have shifted less in distribution under climate change. 
  • Subsurface swimming and stationary diving are metabolically cheap in adult Pacific walruses (Odobenus rosmarus divergens). 
  • Telemedicine: climate change and mosquito-borne disease: a historical perspective. 
  • Temperature accelerates the rate fields become forests. 
  • Temporal and regional variability in the skin microbiome of humpback whales along the Western Antarctic Peninsula. 
  • Temporal and spatial distribution of health, labor, and crop benefits of climate change mitigation in the United States. 
  • The Effects of Climate Change on Cardiac Health. 
  • The Precision Problem in Conservation and Restoration. 
  • The Role of Behavioral Medicine in Addressing Climate Change-Related Health Inequities. 
  • The burden of heatwave-related preterm births and associated human capital losses in China. 
  • The diversity of population responses to environmental change. 
  • The effects of climate change on harp seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus). 
  • The emergent interactions that govern biodiversity change. 
  • The impact of climate change on the prevalence of mental illness symptoms. 
  • The importance of an underestimated grazer under climate change: how crab density, consumer competition, and physical stress affect salt marsh resilience. 
  • The oceans are changing: impact of ocean warming and acidification on biofouling communities. 
  • The potential role for management of U.S. public lands in greenhouse gas mitigation and climate policy. 
  • The quest for improved air quality may push China to continue its CO₂ reduction beyond the Paris Commitment. 
  • The sensory impacts of climate change: bathymetric shifts and visually mediated interactions in aquatic species. 
  • The space-time continuum: the effects of elevated CO2 and temperature on trees and the importance of scaling. 
  • Thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease. 
  • Thermal physiology integrated species distribution model predicts profound habitat fragmentation for estuarine fish with ocean warming. 
  • Time for health to enter China's climate action framework. 
  • Trade-offs between three forest ecosystem services across the state of New Hampshire, USA: timber, carbon, and albedo. 
  • Understanding Evolutionary Impacts of Seasonality: An Introduction to the Symposium. 
  • Understanding long-term primate community dynamics: implications of forest change. 
  • Unobserved time effects confound the identification of climate change impacts. 
  • Using and improving the social cost of carbon 
  • Variable conductivity and embolism in roots and branches of four contrasting tree species and their impacts on whole-plant hydraulic performance under future atmospheric CO₂ concentration. 
  • Viral infections likely mediate microbial controls on ecosystem responses to global warming. 
  • Weather fluctuations affect the impact of consumers on vegetation recovery following a catastrophic die-off. 
  • What's the damage from climate change? 
  • Where Do You Go When Your Prison Cell Floods? Inadequacy of Current Climate Disaster Plans of US Departments of Correction. 
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  Keywords of People

  • Jeuland, Marc A., Associate Professor in the Sanford School of Public Policy, Nicholas Institute-Energy Initiative
  • Kerr, Natalie, Assistant Research Professor of Biology, Biology
  • Li, Wenhong, Associate Professor of Climate, Earth and Climate Sciences
  • Lozier, M. Susan, Ronie-Richele Garcia-Johnson Emerita Professor of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Earth and Climate Sciences
  • Newell, Richard G., Adjunct Professor, Environmental Sciences and Policy
  • Parsons, Luke, Research Scientist, Nicholas School of the Environment
  • Pimm, Stuart L., Doris Duke Distinguished Professor of Conservation Ecology in the Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences, Duke Science & Society
  • Pizer, Billy, Research Professor in the Sanford School of Public Policy, Duke Science & Society
  • Shapiro - Garza, Elizabeth, Associate Professor of the Practice of Environmental Policy and Management in the Division of Environmental Science and Policy, Duke Science & Society
  • Shindell, Drew Todd, Nicholas Distinguished Professor of Earth Science, Duke Science & Society
  • Wedding, Chris Christopher, Executive in Residence, Nicholas Institute-Energy Initiative
  • Wray, Gregory Allan, Professor of Biology, Evolutionary Anthropology