The Effect of Gasoline Taxes and Public Transit Investments on Driving Patterns

Journal Article (Journal Article)

This paper analyzes how driving patterns are affected by gasoline taxes and the availability of a substitute for driving—public transportation. We develop a measure of transportation substitutability based on the difference between individuals’ predicted commute times by private and public transit, conditional upon their demographic characteristics and geographic location. Improved substitutability decreases annual vehicle miles traveled (VMT) by inducing modal shifts to public transit, though gasoline taxes are found to have a much larger impact on VMT. Our results imply that a policy that raises gasoline taxes and recycles the revenues into public transit improvements can have even larger impacts on driving patterns than either policy alone.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Spiller, E; Stephens, H; Timmins, C; Smith, A

Published Date

  • December 1, 2014

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 59 / 4

Start / End Page

  • 633 - 657

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1573-1502

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0924-6460

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1007/s10640-013-9753-9

Citation Source

  • Scopus