A devastating example for the Halfer Rule

Journal Article

© 2014, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. How should we update de dicto beliefs in the face of de se evidence? The Sleeping Beauty problem divides philosophers into two camps, halfers and thirders. But there is some disagreement among halfers about how their position should generalize to other examples. A full generalization is not always given; one notable exception is the Halfer Rule, under which the agent updates her uncentered beliefs based on only the uncentered part of her evidence. In this brief article, I provide a simple example for which the Halfer Rule prescribes credences that, I argue, cannot be reasonably held by anyone. In particular, these credences constitute an egregious violation of the Reflection Principle. I then discuss the consequences for halfing in general.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Conitzer, V

Published Date

  • September 23, 2015

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 172 / 8

Start / End Page

  • 1985 - 1992

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1573-0883

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0031-8116

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1007/s11098-014-0384-y

Citation Source

  • Scopus