Applying developmental threshold models to evolutionary ecology.

Journal Article (Journal Article)

Process-based models of development predict developmental rates and phenology as a function of physiological responses to multiple dynamic environmental factors. These models can be adapted to analyze diverse processes in evolutionary ecology. By linking models across life stages, they can predict life cycles and generation times. By incorporating fitness, they can identify environmental and physiological factors that limit species distributions. By incorporating population variance, they can investigate mechanisms of intraspecific variation or synchronization. By incorporating genetics, they can predict genotype-specific phenology under diverse climatic scenarios and examine causes and consequences of pleiotropy across life stages. With further development, they have the potential to predict genotype-specific ranges and identify key genes involved in determining phenology and fitness in variable and changing environments.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Donohue, K; Burghardt, LT; Runcie, D; Bradford, KJ; Schmitt, J

Published Date

  • February 2015

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 30 / 2

Start / End Page

  • 66 - 77

PubMed ID

  • 25534247

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1872-8383

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0169-5347

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1016/j.tree.2014.11.008


  • eng