A Dutch book against sleeping beauties who are evidential decision theorists

Journal Article (Journal Article)

In the context of the Sleeping Beauty problem, it has been argued that so-called “halfers” can avoid Dutch book arguments by adopting evidential decision theory. I introduce a Dutch book for a variant of the Sleeping Beauty problem and argue that evidential decision theorists fall prey to it, whether they are halfers or thirders. The argument crucially requires that an action can provide evidence for what the agent would do not only at other decision points where she has exactly the same information, but also at decision points where she has different but “symmetric” information.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Conitzer, V

Published Date

  • October 1, 2015

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 192 / 9

Start / End Page

  • 2887 - 2899

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1573-0964

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0039-7857

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1007/s11229-015-0691-7

Citation Source

  • Scopus