The impact of population dynamics and foreign labour policy on dependency: the case of Singapore


Journal Article

© 2015, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Understanding population dynamics is crucial to understanding current and future health care needs and designing systems to meet those needs. In this paper, we provide a methodological approach to investigate population dynamics in a system dynamics model configurable to initialise in dynamic equilibrium or disequilibrium. We then use the model to investigate how the current measured population compares to a population of the same size in equilibrium, and how a dependency ratio will change over time under different scenarios. We apply our approach to Singapore, which, like many other countries, has a rapidly increasing proportion of elderly in the population.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Ansah, JP; Riley, CM; Thompson, JP; Matchar, DB

Published Date

  • June 15, 2015

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 32 / 2

Start / End Page

  • 115 - 138

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1835-9469

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 1443-2447

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1007/s12546-015-9145-9

Citation Source

  • Scopus