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An interbasin comparison of tree-ring reconstructed streamflow in the eastern United States

Publication ,  Journal Article
Maxwell, RS; Harley, GL; Maxwell, JT; Rayback, SA; Pederson, N; Cook, ER; Barclay, DJ; Li, W; Rayburn, JA
Published in: Hydrological Processes
June 30, 2017

Tree-ring reconstructions of streamflow are uncommon in the eastern United States compared with the western United States. Although the east has not experienced severe drought on the scale of the west over the last 100 years, multiyear droughts have stressed the water management systems throughout the east. Here, we reconstruct mean May–September streamflow of three rivers serving population centers in the northeast (Beaver Kill River serving New York, NY), mid-Atlantic (Potomac River serving Washington, DC), and southeast (Flint River serving Atlanta, GA) to demonstrate the efficacy of reconstructing streamflow in the eastern United States. Then, we conducted an interbasin comparison to identify periods of common variability and examined the influence of the North Atlantic subtropical high on reconstructed streamflow. Our models explained 40–61% of the variance in the instrumental record and passed verification tests in all basins during the period 1675–2000 CE. Droughts and pluvials showed some synchrony across all basins, but the mid-Atlantic region acted as a hinge, sometimes behaving more like the northeast, and other times like the southeast. Climatic analyses suggest a relationship exists between the North Atlantic subtropical high and reconstructed streamflow that influences the probability of drought and pluvial events. Given the many factors influencing tree growth in closed-canopy systems, we have shown that careful standardization of individual tree-ring series, nested regression models, and the use of multiple species can produce robust proxies of streamflow across the eastern seaboard.

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Published In

Hydrological Processes

DOI

EISSN

1099-1085

ISSN

0885-6087

Publication Date

June 30, 2017

Volume

31

Issue

13

Start / End Page

2381 / 2394

Related Subject Headings

  • Environmental Engineering
  • 4005 Civil engineering
  • 3709 Physical geography and environmental geoscience
  • 3707 Hydrology
  • 0907 Environmental Engineering
  • 0905 Civil Engineering
  • 0406 Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience
 

Citation

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Maxwell, R. S., Harley, G. L., Maxwell, J. T., Rayback, S. A., Pederson, N., Cook, E. R., … Rayburn, J. A. (2017). An interbasin comparison of tree-ring reconstructed streamflow in the eastern United States. Hydrological Processes, 31(13), 2381–2394. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.11188
Maxwell, R. S., G. L. Harley, J. T. Maxwell, S. A. Rayback, N. Pederson, E. R. Cook, D. J. Barclay, W. Li, and J. A. Rayburn. “An interbasin comparison of tree-ring reconstructed streamflow in the eastern United States.” Hydrological Processes 31, no. 13 (June 30, 2017): 2381–94. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.11188.
Maxwell RS, Harley GL, Maxwell JT, Rayback SA, Pederson N, Cook ER, et al. An interbasin comparison of tree-ring reconstructed streamflow in the eastern United States. Hydrological Processes. 2017 Jun 30;31(13):2381–94.
Maxwell, R. S., et al. “An interbasin comparison of tree-ring reconstructed streamflow in the eastern United States.” Hydrological Processes, vol. 31, no. 13, June 2017, pp. 2381–94. Scopus, doi:10.1002/hyp.11188.
Maxwell RS, Harley GL, Maxwell JT, Rayback SA, Pederson N, Cook ER, Barclay DJ, Li W, Rayburn JA. An interbasin comparison of tree-ring reconstructed streamflow in the eastern United States. Hydrological Processes. 2017 Jun 30;31(13):2381–2394.
Journal cover image

Published In

Hydrological Processes

DOI

EISSN

1099-1085

ISSN

0885-6087

Publication Date

June 30, 2017

Volume

31

Issue

13

Start / End Page

2381 / 2394

Related Subject Headings

  • Environmental Engineering
  • 4005 Civil engineering
  • 3709 Physical geography and environmental geoscience
  • 3707 Hydrology
  • 0907 Environmental Engineering
  • 0905 Civil Engineering
  • 0406 Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience