Validating China's Output Data Using Satellite Observations

Journal Article (Academic article)

Copyright © 2018 Cambridge University Press. Can officially reported output figures be externally validated? This paper presents a dynamic panel framework for assessing statistics using verifiable signals of economic activity. In this context, satellite readings of nitrogen dioxide, a byproduct of combustion, are forwarded. The problem of validating China's reported gross domestic product at the sub-national level during two recent downturns is considered. During the Great Recession period, reported figures are validated for some regions, but not others, including specifically those known to be inaccurate.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Morris, SD; Zhang, J

Published Date

  • December 1, 2019

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 23 / 8

Start / End Page

  • 3327 - 3354

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1469-8056

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 1365-1005

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1017/S1365100518000056