From statistical associations to causation: what developmentalists can learn from instrumental variables techniques coupled with experimental data.

Journal Article (Journal Article)

In this article, the authors aim to make accessible the careful application of a method called instrumental variables (IV). Under the right analytic conditions, IV is one promising strategy for answering questions about the causal nature of associations and, in so doing, can advance developmental theory. The authors build on prior work combining the analytic approach of IV with the strengths of random assignment design, whether the experiment is conducted in the lab setting or in the "real world." The approach is detailed through an empirical example about the effects of maternal education on children's cognitive and school outcomes. With IV techniques, the authors address whether maternal education is causally related to children's cognitive development or whether the observed associations reflect some other characteristic related to parenting, income, or personality. The IV estimates show that maternal education has a positive effect on the cognitive test scores of children entering school. The authors conclude by discussing opportunities for applying these same techniques to address other questions of critical relevance to developmental science.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Gennetian, LA; Magnuson, K; Morris, PA

Published Date

  • March 2008

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 44 / 2

Start / End Page

  • 381 - 394

PubMed ID

  • 18331130

Pubmed Central ID

  • PMC3208329

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1939-0599

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0012-1649

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1037/0012-1649.44.2.381


  • eng