Through scarcity to prosperity: Toward a theory of sustainable growth
Journal Article (Journal Article)
To make progress toward a comprehensive theory of sustainable growth, this paper integrates fertility choice and exhaustible resource dynamics in a tractable model of endogenous technological change. The model identifies conditions under which the interdependence of population, resources and technology produces a transition that consists of three phases: (1) an initial phase where agents exploit exhaustible natural resources to support population growth; (2) an intermediate phase where agents turn on the Schumpeterian engine of endogenous innovation in response to population-led market expansion; (3) a terminal phase where knowledge accumulation becomes the sole engine of growth. The last phase is crucial: not only economic growth no longer requires growth of physical inputs, but technological change also compensates for the exhaustion of the natural resource.
Full Text
Duke Authors
Cited Authors
- Peretto, PF
Published Date
- January 1, 2021
Published In
Volume / Issue
- 117 /
Start / End Page
- 243 - 257
International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)
- 0304-3932
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
- 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2020.01.004
Citation Source
- Scopus