Climate-driven risks to the climate mitigation potential of forests.

Journal Article (Review;Journal Article)

Forests have considerable potential to help mitigate human-caused climate change and provide society with many cobenefits. However, climate-driven risks may fundamentally compromise forest carbon sinks in the 21st century. Here, we synthesize the current understanding of climate-driven risks to forest stability from fire, drought, biotic agents, and other disturbances. We review how efforts to use forests as natural climate solutions presently consider and could more fully embrace current scientific knowledge to account for these climate-driven risks. Recent advances in vegetation physiology, disturbance ecology, mechanistic vegetation modeling, large-scale ecological observation networks, and remote sensing are improving current estimates and forecasts of the risks to forest stability. A more holistic understanding and quantification of such risks will help policy-makers and other stakeholders effectively use forests as natural climate solutions.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Anderegg, WRL; Trugman, AT; Badgley, G; Anderson, CM; Bartuska, A; Ciais, P; Cullenward, D; Field, CB; Freeman, J; Goetz, SJ; Hicke, JA; Huntzinger, D; Jackson, RB; Nickerson, J; Pacala, S; Randerson, JT

Published Date

  • June 2020

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 368 / 6497

PubMed ID

  • 32554569

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1095-9203

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0036-8075

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1126/science.aaz7005


  • eng