Extracting money from causal decision theorists

Conference Paper

Newcomb's problem has spawned a debate about which variant of expected utility maximization (if any) should guide rational choice. In this paper, we provide a new argument against what is probably the most popular variant: causal decision theory (CDT). In particular, we provide two scenarios in which CDT voluntarily loses money. In the first, an agent faces a single choice and following CDT's recommendation yields a loss of money in expectation. The second scenario extends the first to a diachronic Dutch book against CDT.

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Oesterheld, C; Conitzer, V

Published Date

  • January 1, 2020

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 2640 /

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 1613-0073

Citation Source

  • Scopus