Extracting money from causal decision theorists
Published
Conference Paper
© 2020 for this paper by its authors. Use permitted under Creative Commons License Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). Newcomb's problem has spawned a debate about which variant of expected utility maximization (if any) should guide rational choice. In this paper, we provide a new argument against what is probably the most popular variant: causal decision theory (CDT). In particular, we provide two scenarios in which CDT voluntarily loses money. In the first, an agent faces a single choice and following CDT's recommendation yields a loss of money in expectation. The second scenario extends the first to a diachronic Dutch book against CDT.
Duke Authors
Cited Authors
- Oesterheld, C; Conitzer, V
Published Date
- January 1, 2020
Published In
Volume / Issue
- 2640 /
International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)
- 1613-0073
Citation Source
- Scopus