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Impacts of solar intermittency on future photovoltaic reliability.

Publication ,  Journal Article
Yin, J; Molini, A; Porporato, A
Published in: Nature communications
September 2020

As photovoltaic power is expanding rapidly worldwide, it is imperative to assess its promise under future climate scenarios. While a great deal of research has been devoted to trends in mean solar radiation, less attention has been paid to its intermittent character, a key challenge when compounded with uncertainties related to climate variability. Using both satellite data and climate model outputs, we characterize solar radiation intermittency to assess future photovoltaic reliability. We find that the relation between the future power supply and long-term mean solar radiation trends is spatially heterogeneous, showing power reliability is more sensitive to the fluctuations of mean solar radiation in hot arid regions. Our results highlight how reliability analysis must account simultaneously for the mean and intermittency of solar inputs when assessing the impacts of climate change on photovoltaics.

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Published In

Nature communications

DOI

EISSN

2041-1723

ISSN

2041-1723

Publication Date

September 2020

Volume

11

Issue

1

Start / End Page

4781
 

Citation

APA
Chicago
ICMJE
MLA
NLM
Yin, J., Molini, A., & Porporato, A. (2020). Impacts of solar intermittency on future photovoltaic reliability. Nature Communications, 11(1), 4781. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18602-6
Yin, Jun, Annalisa Molini, and Amilcare Porporato. “Impacts of solar intermittency on future photovoltaic reliability.Nature Communications 11, no. 1 (September 2020): 4781. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18602-6.
Yin J, Molini A, Porporato A. Impacts of solar intermittency on future photovoltaic reliability. Nature communications. 2020 Sep;11(1):4781.
Yin, Jun, et al. “Impacts of solar intermittency on future photovoltaic reliability.Nature Communications, vol. 11, no. 1, Sept. 2020, p. 4781. Epmc, doi:10.1038/s41467-020-18602-6.
Yin J, Molini A, Porporato A. Impacts of solar intermittency on future photovoltaic reliability. Nature communications. 2020 Sep;11(1):4781.

Published In

Nature communications

DOI

EISSN

2041-1723

ISSN

2041-1723

Publication Date

September 2020

Volume

11

Issue

1

Start / End Page

4781