Deep convolutional neural networks to predict cardiovascular risk from computed tomography.

Journal Article (Journal Article;Multicenter Study)

Coronary artery calcium is an accurate predictor of cardiovascular events. While it is visible on all computed tomography (CT) scans of the chest, this information is not routinely quantified as it requires expertise, time, and specialized equipment. Here, we show a robust and time-efficient deep learning system to automatically quantify coronary calcium on routine cardiac-gated and non-gated CT. As we evaluate in 20,084 individuals from distinct asymptomatic (Framingham Heart Study, NLST) and stable and acute chest pain (PROMISE, ROMICAT-II) cohorts, the automated score is a strong predictor of cardiovascular events, independent of risk factors (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios up to 4.3), shows high correlation with manual quantification, and robust test-retest reliability. Our results demonstrate the clinical value of a deep learning system for the automated prediction of cardiovascular events. Implementation into clinical practice would address the unmet need of automating proven imaging biomarkers to guide management and improve population health.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Zeleznik, R; Foldyna, B; Eslami, P; Weiss, J; Alexander, I; Taron, J; Parmar, C; Alvi, RM; Banerji, D; Uno, M; Kikuchi, Y; Karady, J; Zhang, L; Scholtz, J-E; Mayrhofer, T; Lyass, A; Mahoney, TF; Massaro, JM; Vasan, RS; Douglas, PS; Hoffmann, U; Lu, MT; Aerts, HJWL

Published Date

  • January 29, 2021

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 12 / 1

Start / End Page

  • 715 -

PubMed ID

  • 33514711

Pubmed Central ID

  • PMC7846726

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 2041-1723

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1038/s41467-021-20966-2


  • eng

Conference Location

  • England