The burden of heatwave-related preterm births and associated human capital losses in China.

Journal Article (Journal Article)

Frequent heatwaves under global warming can increase the risk of preterm birth (PTB), which in turn will affect physical health and human potential over the life course. However, what remains unknown is the extent to which anthropogenic climate change has contributed to such burdens. We combine health impact and economic assessment methods to comprehensively evaluate the entire heatwave-related PTB burden in dimensions of health, human capital and economic costs. Here, we show that during 2010-2020, an average of 13,262 (95%CI 6,962-18,802) PTBs occurred annually due to heatwave exposure in China. In simulated scenarios, 25.8% (95%CI 17.1%-34.5%) of heatwave-related PTBs per year on average can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change, which further result in substantial human capital losses, estimated at over $1 billion costs. Our findings will provide additional impetus for introducing more stringent climate mitigation policies and also call for more sufficient adaptations to reduce heatwave detriments to newborn.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Zhang, Y; Hajat, S; Zhao, L; Chen, H; Cheng, L; Ren, M; Gu, K; Ji, JS; Liang, W; Huang, C

Published Date

  • December 2022

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 13 / 1

Start / End Page

  • 7565 -

PubMed ID

  • 36513644

Pubmed Central ID

  • PMC9747907

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 2041-1723

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 2041-1723

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1038/s41467-022-35008-8


  • eng