Common Stochastic Trends in a System of Exchange Rates

Published

Journal Article

Univariate tests reveal strong evidence for the presence of a unit root in the univariate time‐series representation for seven daily spot and forward exchange rate series. Furthermore, all seven spot and forward rates appear to be cointegrated; that is, the forward premiums are stationary, and one common unit root, or stochastic trend, is detectable in the multivariate time‐series models for the seven spot and forward rates, respectively. This is consistent with the hypothesis that the seven exchange rates possess one long‐run relationship and that the disequilibrium error around that relationship partly accounts for subsequent movements in the exchange rates. 1989 The American Finance Association

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • BAILLIE, RT; BOLLERSLEV, T

Published Date

  • January 1, 1989

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 44 / 1

Start / End Page

  • 167 - 181

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1540-6261

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0022-1082

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1989.tb02410.x

Citation Source

  • Scopus