Estimation of continuous-time models for stock returns and interest rates

Journal Article (Journal Article)

Efficient Method of Moments is used to estimate and test continuous-time diffusion models for stock returns and interest rates. For stock returns, a four-state, two-factor diffusion with one state observed can account for the dynamics of the daily return on the S&P Composite Index, 1927-1987. This contrasts with results indicating that discrete-time, stochastic volatility models cannot explain these dynamics. For interest rates, a trivariate Yield-Factor Model is estimated from weekly, 1962-1995, Treasury rates. The Yield-Factor Model is sharply rejected, although extensions permitting convexities in the local variance come closer to fitting the data.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Gallant, AR; Tauchen, G

Published Date

  • December 1, 1997

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 1 / 1

Start / End Page

  • 135 - 168

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 1365-1005

Citation Source

  • Scopus