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Accuracy of the aristotle basic complexity score for classifying the mortality and morbidity potential of congenital heart surgery operations.

Publication ,  Journal Article
O'Brien, SM; Jacobs, JP; Clarke, DR; Maruszewski, B; Jacobs, ML; Walters, HL; Tchervenkov, CI; Welke, KF; Tobota, Z; Stellin, G; Mavroudis, C ...
Published in: Ann Thorac Surg
December 2007

BACKGROUND: The Aristotle Basic Complexity Score (ABC score) was derived by consensus of an international surgeon panel to facilitate assessment of surgical performance for quality improvement in congenital heart surgery. The utility of the ABC score depends on its ability to correctly classify procedures according to their potential for morbidity, mortality, and technical difficulty. This collaborative study combined two multiinstitution databases to assess how well the ABC score predicts the actual morbidity and mortality potential of 131 congenital heart surgery procedures. METHODS: Data from the European Association of Cardiothoracic Surgery (EACTS) congenital database (17,838 operations, 56 centers) and the Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) congenital database (18,024 operations, 32 centers) were analyzed. Discrimination of the ABC score for predicting in-hospital mortality and postoperative length of stay (PLOS) of more than 21 days was quantified by the C statistic. Procedure-specific rates of mortality and prolonged PLOS were compared with predictions from a logistic regression model, and an exact binomial test was used to identify procedures that were mortality and morbidity outliers. RESULTS: There was a significant positive correlation between the ABC score of a procedure and its observed procedure-specific risk of mortality (C = 0.70) and prolonged PLOS (C = 0.67). Several individual procedures were identifed as mortality and morbidity outliers. CONCLUSIONS: The ABC score generally discriminates between low-risk and high-risk congenital procedures making it a potentially useful covariate for case-mix adjustment in congenital heart surgery outcomes analysis. Planned revisions of the ABC score will incorporate empirical data and will benefit from the large sample sizes of the STS and EACTS databases.

Duke Scholars

Published In

Ann Thorac Surg

DOI

EISSN

1552-6259

Publication Date

December 2007

Volume

84

Issue

6

Start / End Page

2027 / 2037

Location

Netherlands

Related Subject Headings

  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Respiratory System
  • Quality Assurance, Health Care
  • Morbidity
  • Logistic Models
  • Length of Stay
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Infant
  • Humans
  • Hospital Mortality
 

Citation

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O’Brien, S. M., Jacobs, J. P., Clarke, D. R., Maruszewski, B., Jacobs, M. L., Walters, H. L., … Lacour-Gayet, F. G. (2007). Accuracy of the aristotle basic complexity score for classifying the mortality and morbidity potential of congenital heart surgery operations. Ann Thorac Surg, 84(6), 2027–2037. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.athoracsur.2007.06.031
O’Brien, Sean M., Jeffrey P. Jacobs, David R. Clarke, Bohdan Maruszewski, Marshall L. Jacobs, Henry L. Walters, Christo I. Tchervenkov, et al. “Accuracy of the aristotle basic complexity score for classifying the mortality and morbidity potential of congenital heart surgery operations.Ann Thorac Surg 84, no. 6 (December 2007): 2027–37. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.athoracsur.2007.06.031.
O’Brien SM, Jacobs JP, Clarke DR, Maruszewski B, Jacobs ML, Walters HL, et al. Accuracy of the aristotle basic complexity score for classifying the mortality and morbidity potential of congenital heart surgery operations. Ann Thorac Surg. 2007 Dec;84(6):2027–37.
O’Brien, Sean M., et al. “Accuracy of the aristotle basic complexity score for classifying the mortality and morbidity potential of congenital heart surgery operations.Ann Thorac Surg, vol. 84, no. 6, Dec. 2007, pp. 2027–37. Pubmed, doi:10.1016/j.athoracsur.2007.06.031.
O’Brien SM, Jacobs JP, Clarke DR, Maruszewski B, Jacobs ML, Walters HL, Tchervenkov CI, Welke KF, Tobota Z, Stellin G, Mavroudis C, Hamilton JRL, Gaynor JW, Pozzi M, Lacour-Gayet FG. Accuracy of the aristotle basic complexity score for classifying the mortality and morbidity potential of congenital heart surgery operations. Ann Thorac Surg. 2007 Dec;84(6):2027–2037.
Journal cover image

Published In

Ann Thorac Surg

DOI

EISSN

1552-6259

Publication Date

December 2007

Volume

84

Issue

6

Start / End Page

2027 / 2037

Location

Netherlands

Related Subject Headings

  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Respiratory System
  • Quality Assurance, Health Care
  • Morbidity
  • Logistic Models
  • Length of Stay
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Infant
  • Humans
  • Hospital Mortality