The future of biodiversity.


Journal Article

Recent extinction rates are 100 to 1000 times their pre-human levels in well-known, but taxonomically diverse groups from widely different environments. If all species currently deemed "threatened" become extinct in the next century, then future extinction rates will be 10 times recent rates. Some threatened species will survive the century, but many species not now threatened will succumb. Regions rich in species found only within them (endemics) dominate the global patterns of extinction. Although new technology provides details of habitat losses, estimates of future extinctions are hampered by our limited knowledge of which areas are rich in endemics.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Pimm, SL; Russell, GJ; Gittleman, JL; Brooks, TM

Published Date

  • July 1995

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 269 / 5222

Start / End Page

  • 347 - 350

PubMed ID

  • 17841251

Pubmed Central ID

  • 17841251

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1095-9203

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0036-8075

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1126/science.269.5222.347


  • eng