Did the 'Great Recession' produce a depression in tuberculosis incidence?

Journal Article (Journal Article)

In 2009, the United States experienced a record drop in its tuberculosis (TB) case rate, coinciding with a major economic downturn. To investigate this relationship, we modeled short-term changes in gross domestic product, unemployment, and immigration as predictors of TB incidence. We also correlated each state's 2009-2010 change in unemployment with its 2008-2009 change in TB incidence. Although economic factors did not explain the decline, the 2009-2010 change in unemployment negatively correlated with incidence. We hypothesize that factors related to increased unemployment, such as diagnostic delay, may have played a role in the sudden drop in TB case rates.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Holland, DP; Person, AK; Stout, JE

Published Date

  • May 2011

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 15 / 5

Start / End Page

  • 700 - 702

PubMed ID

  • 21756525

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1815-7920

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.5588/ijtld.10.0480


  • eng

Conference Location

  • France