Did the 'Great Recession' produce a depression in tuberculosis incidence?
Journal Article (Journal Article)
In 2009, the United States experienced a record drop in its tuberculosis (TB) case rate, coinciding with a major economic downturn. To investigate this relationship, we modeled short-term changes in gross domestic product, unemployment, and immigration as predictors of TB incidence. We also correlated each state's 2009-2010 change in unemployment with its 2008-2009 change in TB incidence. Although economic factors did not explain the decline, the 2009-2010 change in unemployment negatively correlated with incidence. We hypothesize that factors related to increased unemployment, such as diagnostic delay, may have played a role in the sudden drop in TB case rates.
Full Text
Duke Authors
Cited Authors
- Holland, DP; Person, AK; Stout, JE
Published Date
- May 2011
Published In
Volume / Issue
- 15 / 5
Start / End Page
- 700 - 702
PubMed ID
- 21756525
Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)
- 1815-7920
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
- 10.5588/ijtld.10.0480
Language
- eng
Conference Location
- France