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Incorporating multiple sources of stochasticity into dynamic population models

Publication ,  Journal Article
Calder, C; Lavine, M; Müller, P; Clark, JS
Published in: Ecology
January 1, 2003

Many standard statistical models used to examine population dynamics ignore significant sources of stochasticity. Usually only process error is included, and uncertainty due to errors in data collection is omitted or not directly specified in the model. We show how standard time-series models for population dynamics can be extended to include both observational and process error and how to perform inference on parameters in these models in the Bayesian setting. Using simulated data, we show how ignoring observation error can be misleading. We argue that the standard Bayesian techniques used to perform inference, including freely available software, are generally applicable to a variety of time-series models.

Duke Scholars

Published In

Ecology

DOI

ISSN

0012-9658

Publication Date

January 1, 2003

Volume

84

Issue

6

Start / End Page

1395 / 1402

Related Subject Headings

  • Ecology
  • 4102 Ecological applications
  • 3109 Zoology
  • 3103 Ecology
  • 0603 Evolutionary Biology
  • 0602 Ecology
  • 0501 Ecological Applications
 

Citation

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Chicago
ICMJE
MLA
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Calder, C., Lavine, M., Müller, P., & Clark, J. S. (2003). Incorporating multiple sources of stochasticity into dynamic population models. Ecology, 84(6), 1395–1402. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2003)084[1395:IMSOSI]2.0.CO;2
Calder, C., M. Lavine, P. Müller, and J. S. Clark. “Incorporating multiple sources of stochasticity into dynamic population models.” Ecology 84, no. 6 (January 1, 2003): 1395–1402. https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2003)084[1395:IMSOSI]2.0.CO;2.
Calder C, Lavine M, Müller P, Clark JS. Incorporating multiple sources of stochasticity into dynamic population models. Ecology. 2003 Jan 1;84(6):1395–402.
Calder, C., et al. “Incorporating multiple sources of stochasticity into dynamic population models.” Ecology, vol. 84, no. 6, Jan. 2003, pp. 1395–402. Scopus, doi:10.1890/0012-9658(2003)084[1395:IMSOSI]2.0.CO;2.
Calder C, Lavine M, Müller P, Clark JS. Incorporating multiple sources of stochasticity into dynamic population models. Ecology. 2003 Jan 1;84(6):1395–1402.
Journal cover image

Published In

Ecology

DOI

ISSN

0012-9658

Publication Date

January 1, 2003

Volume

84

Issue

6

Start / End Page

1395 / 1402

Related Subject Headings

  • Ecology
  • 4102 Ecological applications
  • 3109 Zoology
  • 3103 Ecology
  • 0603 Evolutionary Biology
  • 0602 Ecology
  • 0501 Ecological Applications