Forecasting plant migration rates: Managing uncertainty for risk assessment
Publication
, Journal Article
Higgins, SI; Clark, JS; Nathan, R; Hovestadt, T; Schurr, F; Fragoso, JMV; Aguiar, MR; Ribbens, E; Lavorel, S
Published in: Journal of Ecology
June 1, 2003
1. Anthropogenic changes in the global climate are shifting the potential ranges of many plant species. 2. Changing climates will allow some species the opportunity to expand their range, others may experience a contraction in their potential range, while the current and future ranges of some species may not overlap. Our capacity to generalize about the threat these range shifts pose to plant diversity is limited by many sources of uncertainty. 3. In this paper we summarize sources of uncertainty for migration forecasts and suggest a research protocol for making forecasts in the context of uncertainty.
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Published In
Journal of Ecology
DOI
ISSN
0022-0477
Publication Date
June 1, 2003
Volume
91
Issue
3
Start / End Page
341 / 347
Related Subject Headings
- Ecology
- 3103 Ecology
- 07 Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences
- 06 Biological Sciences
- 05 Environmental Sciences
Citation
APA
Chicago
ICMJE
MLA
NLM
Higgins, S. I., Clark, J. S., Nathan, R., Hovestadt, T., Schurr, F., Fragoso, J. M. V., … Lavorel, S. (2003). Forecasting plant migration rates: Managing uncertainty for risk assessment. Journal of Ecology, 91(3), 341–347. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2745.2003.00781.x
Higgins, S. I., J. S. Clark, R. Nathan, T. Hovestadt, F. Schurr, J. M. V. Fragoso, M. R. Aguiar, E. Ribbens, and S. Lavorel. “Forecasting plant migration rates: Managing uncertainty for risk assessment.” Journal of Ecology 91, no. 3 (June 1, 2003): 341–47. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2745.2003.00781.x.
Higgins SI, Clark JS, Nathan R, Hovestadt T, Schurr F, Fragoso JMV, et al. Forecasting plant migration rates: Managing uncertainty for risk assessment. Journal of Ecology. 2003 Jun 1;91(3):341–7.
Higgins, S. I., et al. “Forecasting plant migration rates: Managing uncertainty for risk assessment.” Journal of Ecology, vol. 91, no. 3, June 2003, pp. 341–47. Scopus, doi:10.1046/j.1365-2745.2003.00781.x.
Higgins SI, Clark JS, Nathan R, Hovestadt T, Schurr F, Fragoso JMV, Aguiar MR, Ribbens E, Lavorel S. Forecasting plant migration rates: Managing uncertainty for risk assessment. Journal of Ecology. 2003 Jun 1;91(3):341–347.
Published In
Journal of Ecology
DOI
ISSN
0022-0477
Publication Date
June 1, 2003
Volume
91
Issue
3
Start / End Page
341 / 347
Related Subject Headings
- Ecology
- 3103 Ecology
- 07 Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences
- 06 Biological Sciences
- 05 Environmental Sciences