Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative.

Journal Article (Journal Article)

Planning and decision-making can be improved by access to reliable forecasts of ecosystem state, ecosystem services, and natural capital. Availability of new data sets, together with progress in computation and statistics, will increase our ability to forecast ecosystem change. An agenda that would lead toward a capacity to produce, evaluate, and communicate forecasts of critical ecosystem services requires a process that engages scientists and decision-makers. Interdisciplinary linkages are necessary because of the climate and societal controls on ecosystems, the feedbacks involving social change, and the decision-making relevance of forecasts.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Clark, JS; Carpenter, SR; Barber, M; Collins, S; Dobson, A; Foley, JA; Lodge, DM; Pascual, M; Pielke, R; Pizer, W; Pringle, C; Reid, WV; Rose, KA; Sala, O; Schlesinger, WH; Wall, DH; Wear, D

Published Date

  • July 2001

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 293 / 5530

Start / End Page

  • 657 - 660

PubMed ID

  • 11474103

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1095-9203

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0036-8075

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1126/science.293.5530.657


  • eng