Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative.
Publication
, Journal Article
Clark, JS; Carpenter, SR; Barber, M; Collins, S; Dobson, A; Foley, JA; Lodge, DM; Pascual, M; Pielke, R; Pizer, W; Pringle, C; Reid, WV ...
Published in: Science (New York, N.Y.)
July 2001
Planning and decision-making can be improved by access to reliable forecasts of ecosystem state, ecosystem services, and natural capital. Availability of new data sets, together with progress in computation and statistics, will increase our ability to forecast ecosystem change. An agenda that would lead toward a capacity to produce, evaluate, and communicate forecasts of critical ecosystem services requires a process that engages scientists and decision-makers. Interdisciplinary linkages are necessary because of the climate and societal controls on ecosystems, the feedbacks involving social change, and the decision-making relevance of forecasts.
Duke Scholars
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Published In
Science (New York, N.Y.)
DOI
EISSN
1095-9203
ISSN
0036-8075
Publication Date
July 2001
Volume
293
Issue
5530
Start / End Page
657 / 660
Related Subject Headings
- Stochastic Processes
- Population Growth
- Policy Making
- Humans
- General Science & Technology
- Forecasting
- Epidemiology
- Ecosystem
- Ecology
- Disease Outbreaks
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Clark, J. S., Carpenter, S. R., Barber, M., Collins, S., Dobson, A., Foley, J. A., … Wear, D. (2001). Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative. Science (New York, N.Y.), 293(5530), 657–660. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.293.5530.657
Clark, J. S., S. R. Carpenter, M. Barber, S. Collins, A. Dobson, J. A. Foley, D. M. Lodge, et al. “Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative.” Science (New York, N.Y.) 293, no. 5530 (July 2001): 657–60. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.293.5530.657.
Clark JS, Carpenter SR, Barber M, Collins S, Dobson A, Foley JA, et al. Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative. Science (New York, NY). 2001 Jul;293(5530):657–60.
Clark, J. S., et al. “Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative.” Science (New York, N.Y.), vol. 293, no. 5530, July 2001, pp. 657–60. Epmc, doi:10.1126/science.293.5530.657.
Clark JS, Carpenter SR, Barber M, Collins S, Dobson A, Foley JA, Lodge DM, Pascual M, Pielke R, Pizer W, Pringle C, Reid WV, Rose KA, Sala O, Schlesinger WH, Wall DH, Wear D. Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative. Science (New York, NY). 2001 Jul;293(5530):657–660.
Published In
Science (New York, N.Y.)
DOI
EISSN
1095-9203
ISSN
0036-8075
Publication Date
July 2001
Volume
293
Issue
5530
Start / End Page
657 / 660
Related Subject Headings
- Stochastic Processes
- Population Growth
- Policy Making
- Humans
- General Science & Technology
- Forecasting
- Epidemiology
- Ecosystem
- Ecology
- Disease Outbreaks