Predictors of cognitive change in older persons: MacArthur studies of successful aging.


Journal Article

This study used a linear structural relations modeling technique (LISREL) to examine longitudinal data for 1,192 persons from a community-based population. The goal was to test the ability of an a priori model to predict cognitive change over a 2.0- to 2.5-year period in older adults aged 70-79 at the initial evaluation. The model included 22 demographic, physical, and psychosocial variables as predictors of cognitive function and cognitive change. The study used an exploratory-confirmatory design, enabling cross-validation of the model developed in the exploratory set in the confirmatory sample. Structural equation modeling analyses identified 4 endogenous model variable (education, strenuous activity, peak pulmonary expiratory flow rate, and self-efficacy) as direct predictors of cognitive change over the study period.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Albert, MS; Jones, K; Savage, CR; Berkman, L; Seeman, T; Blazer, D; Rowe, JW

Published Date

  • December 1995

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 10 / 4

Start / End Page

  • 578 - 589

PubMed ID

  • 8749585

Pubmed Central ID

  • 8749585

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0882-7974


  • eng

Conference Location

  • United States