Financial distress in the great depression

Journal Article (Journal Article)

We use firm-level data to study corporate performance during the Great Depression era for all industrial firms on the NYSE. Our goal is to identify the factors that contribute to business insolvency and valuation changes during the period 1928-1938. We find that firms with more debt and lower bond ratings in 1928 became financially distressed more frequently during the Depression, consistent with the trade-off theory of leverage and the information production role of credit rating agencies. We also document for the first time that firms responded to tax incentives to use debt during the Depression era but that the extra debt used in response to this tax-driven "debt bias" did not contribute significantly to the occurrence of distress. Finally, we conduct an out-of-sample test during the recent 2008-2009 Recession and find that higher leverage and lower bond ratings also increased the occurrence of financial distress during this period. © 2011 Financial Management Association International.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Graham, JR; Hazarika, S; Narasimhan, K

Published Date

  • December 1, 2011

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 40 / 4

Start / End Page

  • 821 - 844

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1755-053X

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0046-3892

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1111/j.1755-053X.2011.01163.x

Citation Source

  • Scopus