Mortality from ship emissions: a global assessment.

Published

Journal Article

Epidemiological studies consistently link ambient concentrations of particulate matter (PM) to negative health impacts, including asthma, heart attacks, hospital admissions, and premature mortality. We model ambient PM concentrations from oceangoing ships using two geospatial emissions inventories and two global aerosol models. We estimate global and regional mortalities by applying ambient PM increases due to ships to cardiopulmonary and lung cancer concentration-risk functions and population models. Our results indicate that shipping-related PM emissions are responsible for approximately 60,000 cardiopulmonary and lung cancer deaths annually, with most deaths occurring near coastlines in Europe, East Asia, and South Asia. Under current regulation and with the expected growth in shipping activity, we estimate that annual mortalities could increase by 40% by 2012.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Corbett, JJ; Winebrake, JJ; Green, EH; Kasibhatla, P; Eyring, V; Lauer, A

Published Date

  • December 2007

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 41 / 24

Start / End Page

  • 8512 - 8518

PubMed ID

  • 18200887

Pubmed Central ID

  • 18200887

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1520-5851

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0013-936X

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1021/es071686z

Language

  • eng