Modelling asymmetric exchange rate dependence

Journal Article

We test for asymmetry in a model of the dependence between the Deutsche mark and the yen, in the sense that a different degree of correlation is exhibited during joint appreciations against the U.S. dollar versus during joint depreciations. We consider an extension of the theory of copulas to allow for conditioning variables, and employ it to construct flexible models of the conditional dependence structure of these exchange rates. We find evidence that the mark-dollar and yen-dollar exchange rates are more correlated when they are depreciating against the dollar than when they are appreciating.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Patton, AJ

Published Date

  • 2006

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 47 / 2

Start / End Page

  • 527 - 556

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0020-6598

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1111/j.1468-2354.2006.00387.x