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Assessment of the risk of chronic lung injury attributable to long-term ozone exposure

Publication ,  Journal Article
Winkler, RL; Wallsten, TS; Whitfield, RG; Richmond, HM; Hayes, SR; Rosenbaum, AS
Published in: Operations Research
January 1, 1995

This paper presents an application of a formal process for encoding experts' probabilistic judgments. The objective is to characterize scientific judgment regarding the risk of chronic lung injury to children aged 8 through 16 and to adult outdoor workers due to long-term ozone exposure in areas with patterns of exposure similar to those found in Southern California and the Northeast. Our measure of injury is the incidence of mild or moderate lesions in the centriacinar region of the lung. Probabilities over population response rates were elicited from six health experts actively researching ozone-induced lung injury. We describe our approach, present some judgmental probability distributions over the population response rates for formation of lesions induced by exposure to ozone, summarize some qualitative results, and offer some concluding comments.

Duke Scholars

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Published In

Operations Research

DOI

ISSN

0030-364X

Publication Date

January 1, 1995

Volume

43

Issue

1

Start / End Page

19 / 28

Related Subject Headings

  • Operations Research
  • 3507 Strategy, management and organisational behaviour
  • 1503 Business and Management
  • 0802 Computation Theory and Mathematics
  • 0102 Applied Mathematics
 

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Winkler, R. L., Wallsten, T. S., Whitfield, R. G., Richmond, H. M., Hayes, S. R., & Rosenbaum, A. S. (1995). Assessment of the risk of chronic lung injury attributable to long-term ozone exposure. Operations Research, 43(1), 19–28. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.43.1.19
Winkler, R. L., T. S. Wallsten, R. G. Whitfield, H. M. Richmond, S. R. Hayes, and A. S. Rosenbaum. “Assessment of the risk of chronic lung injury attributable to long-term ozone exposure.” Operations Research 43, no. 1 (January 1, 1995): 19–28. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.43.1.19.
Winkler RL, Wallsten TS, Whitfield RG, Richmond HM, Hayes SR, Rosenbaum AS. Assessment of the risk of chronic lung injury attributable to long-term ozone exposure. Operations Research. 1995 Jan 1;43(1):19–28.
Winkler, R. L., et al. “Assessment of the risk of chronic lung injury attributable to long-term ozone exposure.” Operations Research, vol. 43, no. 1, Jan. 1995, pp. 19–28. Scopus, doi:10.1287/opre.43.1.19.
Winkler RL, Wallsten TS, Whitfield RG, Richmond HM, Hayes SR, Rosenbaum AS. Assessment of the risk of chronic lung injury attributable to long-term ozone exposure. Operations Research. 1995 Jan 1;43(1):19–28.

Published In

Operations Research

DOI

ISSN

0030-364X

Publication Date

January 1, 1995

Volume

43

Issue

1

Start / End Page

19 / 28

Related Subject Headings

  • Operations Research
  • 3507 Strategy, management and organisational behaviour
  • 1503 Business and Management
  • 0802 Computation Theory and Mathematics
  • 0102 Applied Mathematics