Combining forecasts: A philosophical basis and some current issues


Journal Article

A philosophical basis for combining forecasts and some important current issues in the area of combining forecasts are discussed briefly. The philosophical basis views forecasts as information and the combination of forecasts in terms of aggregation of information. The current issues involve the form of the combining rule, cases with agreement among forecasts, cases with extensive disagreement, dependence, uncertainty about forecast characteristics, instability in the forecasting process, robustness and the role of simple rules, and the role of group interaction. © 1990.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Winkler, RL

Published Date

  • January 1, 1989

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 5 / 4

Start / End Page

  • 605 - 609

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0169-2070

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1016/0169-2070(89)90018-6

Citation Source

  • Scopus