Life tables with covariates: Dynamic model for nonlinear analysis of longitudinal data


Journal Article

Life table models based on nonlinear dynamics of risk factors are developed using stochastic differential equations for individual changes and on the resulting Fokker-Planck equation to describe population changes. Central to the model is a microsimulation strategy developed as a numerical procedure to represent a mortality effect when analytic approaches are not applicable. The model is applied to the Framingham Heart Study 46-year follow-up data. Life table functions and projections of risk factors are calculated to demonstrate the nonlinear effects on observable quantities over time. A set of statistically significant nonlinear contributions to covariate dynamics is identified. Their synergistic effect on dynamics and use of them as "new" risk factors are discussed. An important advantage of this approach is the ability to study the effects of health interventions at the individual level. This is illustrated in several examples. Copyright © Taylor & Francis Inc.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Akushevich, I; Kulminski, A; Manton, KG

Published Date

  • April 1, 2005

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 12 / 2

Start / End Page

  • 51 - 80

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1547-724X

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 0889-8480

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1080/08898480590932296

Citation Source

  • Scopus