Association between ColDx assay result and recurrence-free interval in stage II colon cancer patients on CALGB (Alliance) 9581.
Niedzwiecki, D; Frankel, W; Venook, AP; Ye, X; Friedman, PN; Goldberg, RM; Mayer, RJ; Colacchio, TA; Kennedy, RD; Davison, T; O'Brien, EJ ...
Published in: Journal of Clinical Oncology
455 Background: Only 15-25% of pts with stage II colon cancer (CC) experience recurrence and conventional staging methods neither allow accurate identification of low (L) and high-risk (H) subgroups nor predict benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy. The ColDx assay (Almac Diagnostics) is a 634-probeset gene expression signature shown to be independently prognostic for recurrence-free interval (RFI). The objective of this study was to assess the ability of ColDx to classify stage II CC pts at L- and H-risk of relapse. Methods: This validation study was conducted using formalin fixed paraffin embedded biospecimens and clinical data from CALGB 9581, a phase III trial of edrecolomab v. observation in pts with normal risk, stage II CC. 1,454 CALGB 9,581 pts met eligibility criteria. A case-cohort sampling design was used to randomly select (RS) 514 pts from 901 eligible pts with available tissue; supplemented by 49 non-RS recurrent pts (total 563). Risk status for each pt was based on a positive or negative ColDx score using a pre-specified cutpoint, 0.4377. The Self Prentice method was used to test the association between ColDx categories and RFI (distant recurrence or death due to primary disease). Results: Initial results in 563 pts were erroneous due to a quality failure in a batch of reagent. 524 samples were re-labeled, re-ordered, and re-assayed using reagents that passed quality control (36 samples had insufficient material; 95 failed ColDx QC). Final analysis comprised 393 pts, 360 RS (58 events; 16%); 33 non-RS events. 216 pts (55%) were predicted H (62 events); 177 (45%) pts were predicted L (29 events). H pts exhibited significantly worse RFI (univariable hazard ratio (HR), 2.0; 95% CI, 1.3-3.3; p < 0.01). ColDx remained significant after adjustment for prognostic factors; HR, 2.1 (95% CI, 1.3-3.4; p < 0.01). Conclusions: The ColDx assay result is associated with RFI in the CALGB 9,581 sub-sample and is independent from other prognostic factors, including MSI. Further investigation is needed to establish the role of this classifier in guiding treatment decisions in this patient population.