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A Dutch book against sleeping beauties who are evidential decision theorists

Publication ,  Journal Article
Conitzer, V
Published in: Synthese
October 1, 2015

In the context of the Sleeping Beauty problem, it has been argued that so-called “halfers” can avoid Dutch book arguments by adopting evidential decision theory. I introduce a Dutch book for a variant of the Sleeping Beauty problem and argue that evidential decision theorists fall prey to it, whether they are halfers or thirders. The argument crucially requires that an action can provide evidence for what the agent would do not only at other decision points where she has exactly the same information, but also at decision points where she has different but “symmetric” information.

Duke Scholars

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Published In

Synthese

DOI

EISSN

1573-0964

ISSN

0039-7857

Publication Date

October 1, 2015

Volume

192

Issue

9

Start / End Page

2887 / 2899

Related Subject Headings

  • Philosophy
  • 5003 Philosophy
  • 5002 History and philosophy of specific fields
  • 2203 Philosophy
  • 2202 History and Philosophy of Specific Fields
  • 0801 Artificial Intelligence and Image Processing
 

Citation

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MLA
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Conitzer, V. (2015). A Dutch book against sleeping beauties who are evidential decision theorists. Synthese, 192(9), 2887–2899. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-015-0691-7
Conitzer, V. “A Dutch book against sleeping beauties who are evidential decision theorists.” Synthese 192, no. 9 (October 1, 2015): 2887–99. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-015-0691-7.
Conitzer V. A Dutch book against sleeping beauties who are evidential decision theorists. Synthese. 2015 Oct 1;192(9):2887–99.
Conitzer, V. “A Dutch book against sleeping beauties who are evidential decision theorists.” Synthese, vol. 192, no. 9, Oct. 2015, pp. 2887–99. Scopus, doi:10.1007/s11229-015-0691-7.
Conitzer V. A Dutch book against sleeping beauties who are evidential decision theorists. Synthese. 2015 Oct 1;192(9):2887–2899.
Journal cover image

Published In

Synthese

DOI

EISSN

1573-0964

ISSN

0039-7857

Publication Date

October 1, 2015

Volume

192

Issue

9

Start / End Page

2887 / 2899

Related Subject Headings

  • Philosophy
  • 5003 Philosophy
  • 5002 History and philosophy of specific fields
  • 2203 Philosophy
  • 2202 History and Philosophy of Specific Fields
  • 0801 Artificial Intelligence and Image Processing