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Subseasonal forecasts provide a powerful tool for dynamic marine mammal management

Publication ,  Journal Article
Stepanuk, JEF; Kim, H; Nye, JA; Roberts, JJ; Halpin, PN; Palka, DL; Pabst, DA; McLellan, WA; Barco, SG; Thorne, LH
Published in: Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment
April 1, 2023

Adaptive approaches are needed to effectively manage dynamic marine systems, and ecological forecasts can help managers anticipate when and where conservation issues are likely to arise in the future. The recent development of subseasonal global environmental forecasts provides an opportunity to inform management by forecasting species distributions in advance over operational timeframes. We demonstrate the utility of environmental forecasts for managing marine mammals by integrating species distribution models with subseasonal forecasts to predict the arrival of migratory humpback whales (Megaptera novaeangliae) at foraging grounds in the Northeast US. Environmental forecasts showed high model skill at lead times of up to 2 weeks and resulting humpback whale models performed well in predicting humpback arrival. Forecasts of whale distribution can shape management efforts to minimize both impacts on whales and economic costs. Applying subseasonal forecasts to anticipate future risk presents a powerful tool for the dynamic management of marine mammals. Front Ecol Environ 2022;.

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Published In

Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment

DOI

EISSN

1540-9309

ISSN

1540-9295

Publication Date

April 1, 2023

Volume

21

Issue

3

Start / End Page

117 / 123

Related Subject Headings

  • Ecology
 

Citation

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Chicago
ICMJE
MLA
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Stepanuk, J. E. F., Kim, H., Nye, J. A., Roberts, J. J., Halpin, P. N., Palka, D. L., … Thorne, L. H. (2023). Subseasonal forecasts provide a powerful tool for dynamic marine mammal management. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 21(3), 117–123. https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.2506
Stepanuk, J. E. F., H. Kim, J. A. Nye, J. J. Roberts, P. N. Halpin, D. L. Palka, D. A. Pabst, W. A. McLellan, S. G. Barco, and L. H. Thorne. “Subseasonal forecasts provide a powerful tool for dynamic marine mammal management.” Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 21, no. 3 (April 1, 2023): 117–23. https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.2506.
Stepanuk JEF, Kim H, Nye JA, Roberts JJ, Halpin PN, Palka DL, et al. Subseasonal forecasts provide a powerful tool for dynamic marine mammal management. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. 2023 Apr 1;21(3):117–23.
Stepanuk, J. E. F., et al. “Subseasonal forecasts provide a powerful tool for dynamic marine mammal management.” Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, vol. 21, no. 3, Apr. 2023, pp. 117–23. Scopus, doi:10.1002/fee.2506.
Stepanuk JEF, Kim H, Nye JA, Roberts JJ, Halpin PN, Palka DL, Pabst DA, McLellan WA, Barco SG, Thorne LH. Subseasonal forecasts provide a powerful tool for dynamic marine mammal management. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. 2023 Apr 1;21(3):117–123.
Journal cover image

Published In

Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment

DOI

EISSN

1540-9309

ISSN

1540-9295

Publication Date

April 1, 2023

Volume

21

Issue

3

Start / End Page

117 / 123

Related Subject Headings

  • Ecology