Probabilities are useful to quantify expert judgments
Publication
, Journal Article
Keeney, RL; Winterfeldt, DV
Published in: Reliability Engineering and System Safety
1988
The role of explicitly quantifying expert judgment for use in examining complex technical and engineering problems is placed in perspective. We discuss how expert judgments are usually used in analyzing technical problems, how the use of expert judgement should be improved, and how to interpret expert opinion in analysis. The advantages of quantifying expert judgments and of using probabilities for this quantification are stressed. © 1988.
Duke Scholars
Published In
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
ISSN
0951-8320
Publication Date
1988
Volume
23
Issue
4
Start / End Page
293 / 298
Related Subject Headings
- Strategic, Defence & Security Studies
- 15 Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services
- 09 Engineering
- 01 Mathematical Sciences
Citation
APA
Chicago
ICMJE
MLA
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Keeney, R. L., & Winterfeldt, D. V. (1988). Probabilities are useful to quantify expert judgments. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 23(4), 293–298.
Keeney, R. L., and D. V. Winterfeldt. “Probabilities are useful to quantify expert judgments.” Reliability Engineering and System Safety 23, no. 4 (1988): 293–98.
Keeney RL, Winterfeldt DV. Probabilities are useful to quantify expert judgments. Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 1988;23(4):293–8.
Keeney, R. L., and D. V. Winterfeldt. “Probabilities are useful to quantify expert judgments.” Reliability Engineering and System Safety, vol. 23, no. 4, 1988, pp. 293–98.
Keeney RL, Winterfeldt DV. Probabilities are useful to quantify expert judgments. Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 1988;23(4):293–298.
Published In
Reliability Engineering and System Safety
ISSN
0951-8320
Publication Date
1988
Volume
23
Issue
4
Start / End Page
293 / 298
Related Subject Headings
- Strategic, Defence & Security Studies
- 15 Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services
- 09 Engineering
- 01 Mathematical Sciences