Influence of weak trends on exceedance probability
Publication
, Journal Article
Porporato, A; Ridolfi, L
Published in: Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics
December 1, 1998
Studying the hypothetical case of a trend superimposed on a random stationary variable, we highlight the strong influence of possible nonstationarities on exceedance probability. After a general outline, the subject is analytically developed using the Gumbel distribution, emphasizing the quick increase of the exceedance probability over time in the presence of weak rising trends, and its sensitive underestimation where the non-stationarity goes unnoticed or is considered negligible. Finally the work is applied to hydrological series of rainfall and river flow. © Springer-Verlag 1998.
Duke Scholars
Published In
Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics
DOI
ISSN
0931-1955
Publication Date
December 1, 1998
Volume
12
Issue
1
Start / End Page
1 / 14
Citation
APA
Chicago
ICMJE
MLA
NLM
Porporato, A., & Ridolfi, L. (1998). Influence of weak trends on exceedance probability. Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics, 12(1), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1007/s004770050006
Porporato, A., and L. Ridolfi. “Influence of weak trends on exceedance probability.” Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics 12, no. 1 (December 1, 1998): 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1007/s004770050006.
Porporato A, Ridolfi L. Influence of weak trends on exceedance probability. Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics. 1998 Dec 1;12(1):1–14.
Porporato, A., and L. Ridolfi. “Influence of weak trends on exceedance probability.” Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics, vol. 12, no. 1, Dec. 1998, pp. 1–14. Scopus, doi:10.1007/s004770050006.
Porporato A, Ridolfi L. Influence of weak trends on exceedance probability. Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics. 1998 Dec 1;12(1):1–14.
Published In
Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics
DOI
ISSN
0931-1955
Publication Date
December 1, 1998
Volume
12
Issue
1
Start / End Page
1 / 14