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Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts ( Eugene, Oregon).

Publication ,  Journal Article
Murphy, AH; Lichtenstein, S; Fischhoff, B; Winkler, RL
December 1, 1980

Previous studies have suggested that the general public misinterprets probability of precipitation (PoP) forecasts. Summarizes a study of 79 residents of Eugene, Oregon who completed a questionnaire designed to investigate their understanding of an attitude toward precipitation probability forecasts. Results indicate that the event in question frequently is misunderstood, with both traditional precipitation forecasts and PoP forecasts experiencing similar levels of event misinterpretation.-from US Govt Reports Announcements, 15, 1980

Duke Scholars

Publication Date

December 1, 1980
 

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Murphy, A. H., Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., & Winkler, R. L. (1980). Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts ( Eugene, Oregon).
Murphy, A. H., S. Lichtenstein, B. Fischhoff, and R. L. Winkler. “Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts ( Eugene, Oregon).,” December 1, 1980.
Murphy AH, Lichtenstein S, Fischhoff B, Winkler RL. Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts ( Eugene, Oregon). 1980 Dec 1;
Murphy AH, Lichtenstein S, Fischhoff B, Winkler RL. Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts ( Eugene, Oregon). 1980 Dec 1;

Publication Date

December 1, 1980