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Decline in human cancer incidence rates at old ages: Age-period-cohort considerations

Publication ,  Journal Article
Arbeev, KG; Ukraintseva, SV; Arbeeva, LS; Yashin, AI
Published in: Demographic Research
May 13, 2005

Analysis of age-specific trajectories of cancer incidence rates for all sites combined (data source: International Agency for Research on Cancer) reveals a leveling-off and decline of the rates at old ages in different countries and time periods. We apply a nonlinear age-period-cohort model (James and Segal 1982) to obtain declining cancer incidence rates at old ages. The age effects are represented by a power function of age in accordance with a multistage model of carcinogenesis (Armitage and Doll 1954). Applications to cancer incidence in England and Wales, Japan (Miyagi prefecture) and the USA (New York State and San Francisco) illustrate the approach. Further topics of research are discussed. © 2005 Max-Planck-Gesellschaft.

Duke Scholars

Published In

Demographic Research

DOI

EISSN

1435-9871

ISSN

1435-9871

Publication Date

May 13, 2005

Volume

12

Start / End Page

273 / 300

Related Subject Headings

  • Demography
  • 44 Human society
  • 42 Health sciences
  • 35 Commerce, management, tourism and services
  • 1603 Demography
 

Citation

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Arbeev, K. G., Ukraintseva, S. V., Arbeeva, L. S., & Yashin, A. I. (2005). Decline in human cancer incidence rates at old ages: Age-period-cohort considerations. Demographic Research, 12, 273–300. https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2005.12.11
Arbeev, K. G., S. V. Ukraintseva, L. S. Arbeeva, and A. I. Yashin. “Decline in human cancer incidence rates at old ages: Age-period-cohort considerations.” Demographic Research 12 (May 13, 2005): 273–300. https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2005.12.11.
Arbeev KG, Ukraintseva SV, Arbeeva LS, Yashin AI. Decline in human cancer incidence rates at old ages: Age-period-cohort considerations. Demographic Research. 2005 May 13;12:273–300.
Arbeev, K. G., et al. “Decline in human cancer incidence rates at old ages: Age-period-cohort considerations.” Demographic Research, vol. 12, May 2005, pp. 273–300. Scopus, doi:10.4054/DemRes.2005.12.11.
Arbeev KG, Ukraintseva SV, Arbeeva LS, Yashin AI. Decline in human cancer incidence rates at old ages: Age-period-cohort considerations. Demographic Research. 2005 May 13;12:273–300.

Published In

Demographic Research

DOI

EISSN

1435-9871

ISSN

1435-9871

Publication Date

May 13, 2005

Volume

12

Start / End Page

273 / 300

Related Subject Headings

  • Demography
  • 44 Human society
  • 42 Health sciences
  • 35 Commerce, management, tourism and services
  • 1603 Demography