Journal articleJournal of Political Institutions and Political Economy · February 21, 2024
We have two goals in this paper. First, we provide a unified account of several prominent institutional theories of the Congress, but especially present a model that is consistent with both the Cox-McCubbins theory of party cartels (2005; 2007) and the Ald ...
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Journal articleNational Institute Economic Review · November 3, 2023
Duncan Black, like Adam Smith before him, was trained at, and taught at, the University of Glasgow. Like Smith, Black followed the Enlightenment in appreciating the importance of theory and of its empirical applications. Black sought to apply the ideas of ...
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Journal articleJournal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties · October 1, 2020
This paper introduces a model of vote choice in mixed-member proportional representation systems where electors cast two votes. Despite the growing popularity of mixed systems around the world, a recent stream of literature suggests that the candidate vote ...
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Journal articleParty Politics · September 1, 2020
Mobilization efforts by parties and candidates during election campaigns tend to reach those who are more likely to vote in the first place. This is thought to be particularly consequential for turnout among the young. Harder and less cost-effective to rea ...
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Journal articlePolitical Behavior · June 1, 2018
In this paper we use comparative study of electoral systems data to understand the variation in citizens’ perceptions of political party placements on the left–right scale. We estimate multilevel models to assess the extent to which individual characterist ...
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Journal articleJournal of Politics · October 1, 2017
Party leaders face a significant trade-off financing races when the party is out of power: while they care about gaining control of the House, they do not know how willing a potential representative will be to work with and for the party once elected. Lead ...
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Journal articleLegislative Studies Quarterly · May 1, 2017
This article examines why some state legislators run for Congress and others do not. Our main argument is that there are differences in the expected value of a state legislative seat and the expected benefits of being a member of Congress. One key componen ...
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Journal articleParty Politics · March 1, 2016
This paper compares the spread and impact of new digital modes of voter mobilization with more traditional methods (phone, mail and in person canvassing) in recent national elections in the US and UK. We develop hypotheses regarding the relative effects of ...
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Journal articleEuropean Review · March 25, 2015
The People's Republic of China's dramatic transformation has not only benefited its people, but has also led it to become a major player in the world. Here we examine how deeply perceptions of China have penetrated into the public's perceptions in a wide v ...
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Journal articlePerspectives on Politics · March 6, 2015
This address asks how we got to today's politics in America; a politics of polarized political parties engaged in close political competition in a system of checks and balances. The result has often been divided control of government and an apparent inabil ...
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Journal articleJournal of Contemporary China · March 4, 2015
The dramatic increase in China’s economic and hence political power and influence is a common story around the world. Just how clearly and well does this story get across to citizens of some nations other than China, itself? In particular, we ask what Amer ...
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Journal articlePublic Choice · March 1, 2014
Different institutions can produce more (or less) preferred outcomes, in terms of citizens' preferences. Consequently, citizen preferences over institutions may "inherit"-to use William Riker's term-the features of preferences over outcomes. But the level ...
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Journal articlePolitics and Society · January 1, 2014
We argue that, to effectively understand media effects in authoritarian societies, researchers must assess different types of media strategies adopted by authoritarian leaders. Using survey data from two Chinese cities, we examine the effects of two types ...
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Journal articlePolitical Analysis · January 1, 2014
In this article, we challenge the conclusion that the preferences of members of Congress are best represented as existing in a low-dimensional space. We conduct Monte Carlo simulations altering assumptions regarding the dimensionality and distribution of m ...
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Journal articleElectoral Studies · March 1, 2013
The 2010 British election resulted in what the British refer to as a " hung Parliament" for the first time in over a generation. This result further heightened the debate over the fairness and utility of the nation's centuries-old first-past-the-post (FPTP ...
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Journal articleCongress and the Presidency · September 1, 2012
This article applies the theory of "conditional party government" (CPG) to the interaction between the majority party and the Appropriations Committee in the period following the Republican Revolution of 1995. We extend the analysis of Aldrich and Rohde (2 ...
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Journal articleImproving Public Opinion Surveys Interdisciplinary Innovation and the American National Election Studies · December 5, 2011
The American National Election Studies (ANES) is the premier social science survey program devoted to voting and elections. Conducted during the presidential election years and midterm Congressional elections, the survey is based on interviews with voters ...
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Journal articlePolitical Communication · July 1, 2011
The Chinese public's prevailing admiration and respect for the United States was widely observed in the 1980s when reforms first began. However, since the early 1990s significant anti-American sentiments have started to emerge in China. Such a dramatic shi ...
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Journal articlePublic Choice · June 1, 2010
Elinor Ostrom is justly valued for her contributions to understanding the nature of and solution to common pool resource problems (CPRs). Her solution is generally referred to as balancing the aim of reducing the high costs associated with political soluti ...
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Journal articleComparative Political Studies · January 2010
Based on recent work that suggests that voters in proportional representation (PR) systems have incentives to cast strategic votes, the authors hypothesize that levels of strategic voting are similar in both first-past-the-post (FPTP) and PR system ...
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Journal articlePolitical Behavior · June 1, 2007
Every presidential election offers interesting questions for analysis, but some elections are more puzzling than others. The election of 2004 involves two linked and countervailing puzzles. The first is: How did President George W. Bush manage to win at al ...
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Journal articleElectoral Studies · June 1, 2007
In an experiment that tests the effects of different information on the role of electability and policy considerations in people's evaluations of presidential candidates, we find that both substance and electability affect those assessments. In the context ...
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Journal articleParty Politics · November 1, 2006
In many countries, elections produce coalition governments. Downs points out that in such cases the rational voter needs to determine what coalitions are possible, i.e. to ascertain their probability and to anticipate the policy compromises that they entai ...
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Journal articleAnnual Review of Political Science · July 14, 2006
Public opinion is central to representation, democratic accountability, and decision making. Yet, the public was long believed to be relatively uninterested in foreign affairs, absent an immediate threat to safety and welfare. It had become conventional to ...
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Journal articlePolitical Analysis · 2003
This special issue is devoted to original articles that reflect recent progress in one of the most exciting developments in Political Science, the National Science Foundation's (NSF) initiative called Empirical Implications of Theoretical Models (E ...
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Journal articleJournal of Politics · January 1, 2000
This study applies the theory of "conditional party government" to the interaction between the Republican party and the Appropriations Committee in the 104th House, seen in the context of developments since the 96th Congress. As expected by the theory, we ...
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Journal articlePolitical Research Quarterly · January 1, 2000
Recent successes by independent presidential candidates raise questions about the stability of the American two-party system. Students of electoral behavior point to party decline, whereas analysts of party organization see growth and transformation. Analy ...
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Journal articleAmerican Political Science Review · January 1, 1992
Voters in multicandidate contests may confront circumstances under which it is in their interest to vote for a second- or even lower-ranked candidate. The U.S. electoral system, typically offering a choice between only two major contenders, rarely presents ...
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Journal articlePublic Choice · June 1, 1991
The findings of this paper are a rather straightforward account of the political economy of senatorial voting on the sugar program. In the spirit of Stigler and Peltzman's accounts of interest group activity, voting on sugar is indeed related to the concen ...
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Journal articleAmerican Political Science Review · January 1, 1989
While candidates regularly spend much time and effort campaigning on foreign and defense policies, the thrust of prevailing scholarly opinion is that voters possess little information and weak attitudes on these issues, which therefore have negligible impa ...
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Journal articleAmerican Political Science Review · March 1977
A method of scaling is proposed to estimate the positions of candidates and voters on a common issue dimension. The scaling model assumes that candidates occupy true positions in an issue space and that individual level perceptual data arise from t ...
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