Scholars@Duke

• Background
• 

  Education, Training, & Certifications

  • Ph.D., Northwestern University 1977
  • B.A., Indiana University at Indianapolis 1970
• 

  Duke Appointment History

  • Professor of Political Science, Political Science, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2010 - 2017
  • Director of Graduate Studies in the Department of Political Science, Political Science, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences 2010 - 2013
• Recognition
• 

  In the News

  • MAR 24, 2014

    The New York Times

    News Analysis: Spreadsheets and global mayhem

  • FEB 17, 2014

    The Verge

    This algorithm can predict a revolution
• 

  Awards & Honors

  • Residency Fellow. Center for Advanced Studies in the Behavioral Sciences. 2013
• Research
• 

  Selected Grants

  • III: Small: Cumulon: Easy and Efficient Statistical Big-Data Analysis in the Cloud awarded by  National Science Foundation 2013 - 2017
  • Collaborative Research: Automated Real-time Production of Political Indicators awarded by  National Science Foundation 2013 - 2017
  • Validation for Split-Population Duration IED Models awarded by Office of Naval Research 2015 - 2016
  • Improving Predictions of IED: Split Population Risk Modeling awarded by Office of Naval Research 2012 - 2015
  • Phase II of Phase VI Analytics in Support of the Political Instability Task Force awarded by Science Applications International Corporation 2013 - 2014
• Publications & Artistic Works
• 

  Selected Publications

  • Books

    • Ward, M. D., and K. S. Gleditsch. Spatial Regression Models (in Chinese). Edited by Tim Lao. Sage Publications & Truth and Wisdom Press, 2012.
    • Ward, M. D., and P. D. Hoff. Analyzing dependencies in geo-economics and geo-politics. Vol. 6, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1572-8323(08)06009-8.
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    • Ward, Michael D., and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch. Spatial Regression Models. SAGE, 2008.
    • Ward, Michael Don. The New Geopolitics. Taylor & Francis, 1992.
    • Ward, M. Power in World Politics. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishing, 1989.
    • Guetzkow, Harold Steere, and Michael Don Ward. Theories, models, and simulations in international relations. Westview Pr, 1985.
    • Ward, M. D., and U. Luterbacher, eds. Dynamic Approaches to International Conflict. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishing, 1985.
    • Ward, Michael Don. Research gaps in alliance dynamics. Denver Monograph Series in World Affairs, 1982.
    • Ward, Michael Don. The Political Economy of Distribution. North Holland, New York: Elsevier, 1978.

  • Academic Articles

    • Hollenbach, F. M., I. Bojinov, S. Minhas, N. W. Metternich, M. D. Ward, and A. Volfovsky. “Multiple Imputation Using Gaussian Copulas.” Sociological Methods and Research, January 1, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1177/0049124118799381.
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    • Beger, A., D. W. Hill, N. W. Metternich, S. Minhas, and M. D. Ward. “Splitting it up: The spduration split-population duration regression package for time-varying covariates.” R Journal 9, no. 2 (December 1, 2017): 474–86.
    • Metternich, N. W., S. Minhas, and M. D. Ward. “Firewall? or Wall on Fire? A Unified Framework of Conflict Contagion and the Role of Ethnic Exclusion.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 61, no. 6 (July 1, 2017): 1151–73. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002715603452.
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    • Ward, M. D., and A. Beger. “Lessons from near real-time forecasting of irregular leadership changes.” Journal of Peace Research 54, no. 2 (January 1, 2017): 141–56. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343316680858.
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    • Beger, A., C. L. Dorff, and M. D. Ward. “Irregular leadership changes in 2014: Forecasts using ensemble, split-population duration models.” International Journal of Forecasting 32, no. 1 (January 1, 2016): 98–111. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2015.01.009.
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    • Minhas, S., P. D. Hoff, and M. D. Ward. “A new approach to analyzing coevolving longitudinal networks in international relations.” Journal of Peace Research 53, no. 3 (January 1, 2016): 491–505. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343316630783.
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    • Minhas, S., J. Ulfelder, and M. D. Ward. “Mining texts to efficiently generate global data on political regime types.” Research and Politics 2, no. 3 (July 1, 2015). https://doi.org/10.1177/2053168015589217.
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    • Montgomery, J. M., F. M. Hollenbach, and M. D. Ward. “Calibrating ensemble forecasting models with sparse data in the social sciences.” International Journal of Forecasting 31, no. 3 (July 1, 2015): 930–42. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.08.001.
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    • Beger, A., C. L. Dorff, and M. D. Ward. “Ensemble forecasting of irregular leadership change.” Research and Politics 1, no. 3 (October 1, 2014). https://doi.org/10.1177/2053168014557511.
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    • Bakke, K. M., J. O’Loughlin, G. Toal, and M. D. Ward. “Convincing State-Builders? Disaggregating Internal Legitimacy in Abkhazia.” International Studies Quarterly 58, no. 3 (January 1, 2014): 591–607. https://doi.org/10.1111/isqu.12110.
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    • Cao, X., and M. D. Ward. “Do Democracies Attract Portfolio Investment? Transnational Portfolio Investments Modeled as Dynamic Network.” International Interactions 40, no. 2 (January 1, 2014): 216–45. https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2014.880697.
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    • Dorff, Cassy, and Michael D. Ward. “Networks, Dyads, and the Social Relations Model.” Political Science Research and Methods 1, no. 2 (December 2013): 159–78. https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2013.21.
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    • Montgomery, J. M., F. M. Hollenbach, and M. D. Ward. “Aggregation and ensembles: Principled combinations of data.” Ps  Political Science and Politics 46, no. 1 (February 1, 2013): 43–44. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1049096512001552.
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    • Bakke, K. M., J. O’Loughlin, G. Toal, and M. D. Ward. “Convincing State-Builders? Disaggregating Internal Legitimacy in Abkhazia.” International Studies Quarterly, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1111/isqu.12110.
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    • Cao, Xun, and M. D. WARD. “Do Democracies Attract Portfolio Investment? Transnational Portfolio Investments Modeled as Dynamic Network.” International Interactions 39 (2013): inpress-inpress.
    • Gleditsch, K. S., and M. D. Ward. “Forecasting is difficult, especially about the future: Using contentious issues to forecast interstate disputes.” Journal of Peace Research 50, no. 1 (January 1, 2013): 17–31. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343312449033.
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    • Metternich, N. W., C. Dorff, M. Gallop, S. Weschle, and M. D. Ward. “Antigovernment Networks in Civil Conflicts: How Network Structures Affect Conflictual Behavior.” American Journal of Political Science 57, no. 4 (January 1, 2013): 892–911. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12039.
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    • Ward, M. D., J. S. Ahlquist, and A. Rozenas. “Gravity's Rainbow: A dynamic latent space model for the world trade network.” Network Science 1, no. 1 (January 1, 2013): 95–118. https://doi.org/10.1017/nws.2013.1.
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    • Ward, M. D., N. W. Metternich, C. L. Dorff, M. Gallop, F. M. Hollenbach, A. Schultz, and S. Weschle. “Learning from the Past and Stepping into the Future: Toward a New Generation of Conflict Prediction.” International Studies Review, 2013.
    • Ward, M. D., N. W. Metternich, C. L. Dorff, M. Gallop, F. M. Hollenbach, A. Schultz, and S. Weschle. “Learning from the past and stepping into the future: Toward a new generation of conflict prediction.” International Studies Review 15, no. 4 (January 1, 2013): 473–90. https://doi.org/10.1111/misr.12072.
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    • Montgomery, J. M., F. M. Hollenbach, and M. D. Ward. “Ensemble predictions of the 2012 US presidential election.” Ps  Political Science and Politics 45, no. 4 (October 1, 2012): 651–54. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1049096512000959.
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    • Montgomery, J. M., F. M. Hollenbach, and M. D. Ward. “Improving predictions using ensemble bayesian model averaging.” Political Analysis 20, no. 3 (July 1, 2012): 271–91. https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mps002.
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    • Ward, Michael D. “Networks of Nations: The Evolution, Structure, and Impact of International Networks, 1816–2001. By Zeev Maoz. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2010. 448p. $95.00 cloth, $36.99 paper..” Perspectives on Politics 10, no. 1 (March 2012): 224–25. https://doi.org/10.1017/s1537592711004828.
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    • Montgomery, J. M., F. M. Hollenbach, and M. D. Ward. “Ensemble Predictions of the 2012 US Presidential Election.” Ps: Political Science and Politics 45, no. 4 (2012): 651–54. https://doi.org/10.2307/41691405.
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    • Greenhill, B., M. D. Ward, and A. Sacks. “The Separation Plot: A New Visual Method for Evaluating the Fit of Binary Models.” American Journal of Political Science 55, no. 4 (October 1, 2011): 991–1002. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2011.00525.x.
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    • Ward, M. D., K. Stovel, and A. Sacks. “Network analysis and political science.” Annual Review of Political Science 14 (June 15, 2011): 245–64. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.polisci.12.040907.115949.
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    • Weidmann, N. B., and M. D. Ward. “Erratum to: Predicting Conflict in Space and Time(Journal of Conflict Resolution, (2010), 54, 6 (883-901), 10.1177/0022002710371669).” Journal of Conflict Resolution 55, no. 2 (April 1, 2011). https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002711405502.
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    • Ward, M. D., B. D. Greenhill, and K. M. Bakke. “The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts.” Journal of Peace Research 47, no. 4 (July 1, 2010): 363–75. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343309356491.
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    • Raftery, A. E., and M. D. Ward. “Special issue on statistical methods for the social sciences: Guest editors' introduction.” Statistical Methodology 7, no. 3 (May 1, 2010): 173–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.stamet.2010.01.005.
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    • Greenhill, Brian D., M. D. Ward, and K. M. Bakke. “Perils of Policy by P-Value: Predicting Civil Conflicts.” Journal of Peace Research 47, no. 4 (2010): 1–13.
    • Weidmann, N. B., and M. D. Ward. “Predicting conflict in space and time.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 54, no. 6 (January 1, 2010): 883–901. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002710371669.
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    • Bakke, K. M., J. O’Loughlin, and M. D. Ward. “Reconciliation in conflict-affected societies: Multilevel modeling of individual and contextual factors in the North Caucasus of Russia.” Annals of the Association of American Geographers 99, no. 5 (November 27, 2009): 1012–21. https://doi.org/10.1080/00045600903260622.
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    • Bakke, K. M., X. Cao, J. O’Loughlin, and M. D. Ward. “Social distance in Bosnia-Herzegovina and the North Caucasus region of Russia: Inter and intra-ethnic attitudes and identities.” Nations and Nationalism 15, no. 2 (April 3, 2009): 227–53. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-8129.2009.00363.x.
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    • Ward, M. D., R. M. Siverson, and X. Cao. “Disputes, democracies, and dependencies: A reexamination of the Kantian peace.” American Journal of Political Science 51, no. 3 (July 1, 2007): 583–601. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2007.00269.x.
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    • Cao, X., A. Prakash, and M. D. Ward. “Protecting jobs in the age of globalization: Examining the relative salience of social welfare and industrial subsidies in OECD countries.” International Studies Quarterly 51, no. 2 (June 1, 2007): 301–27. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2478.2007.00453.x.
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    • Ward, M. D., and P. D. Hoff. “Persistent patterns of international commerce.” Journal of Peace Research 44, no. 2 (March 1, 2007): 157–75. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343307075119.
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    • Gleditsch, K. S., and M. D. Ward. “Diffusion and the international context of democratization.” International Organization 60, no. 4 (October 1, 2006): 911–33. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818306060309.
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    • Gleditsch, K. S., and M. D. Ward. “Diffusion and the International Context of Democratization.” International Organization 60, no. 4 (2006): 911–33. https://doi.org/10.2307/3877851.
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    • Hoff, P. D., and M. D. Ward. “Modeling dependencies in international relations networks.” Political Analysis 12, no. 2 (March 1, 2004): 160–75. https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mph012.
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    • Siverson, R. M., and M. D. Ward. “The long peace: A reconsideration.” International Organization 56, no. 3 (June 1, 2002). https://doi.org/10.1162/002081802760199926.
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    • Ward, Michael D. “Book Review.” Comparative Political Studies 35, no. 4 (May 2002): 484–88. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414002035004005.
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    • Ward, M. D. “Green binders in cyberspace: A modest proposal.” Comparative Political Studies 35, no. 1 (February 1, 2002): 46–51. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414002035001004.
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    • Heagerty, Patrick, Michael D. Ward, and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch. “Windows of Opportunity: Window Subseries Empirical Variance Estimators in International Relations.” Political Analysis 10, no. 3 (2002): 304–17. https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/10.3.304.
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    • Ward, Michael D., and John O’Loughlin. “Spatial Processes and Political Methodology: Introduction to the Special Issue.” Political Analysis 10, no. 3 (2002): 211–16. https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/10.3.211.
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    • Ward, Michael D., and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch. “Location, Location, Location: An MCMC Approach to Modeling the Spatial Context of War and Peace.” Political Analysis 10, no. 3 (2002): 244–60. https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/10.3.244.
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    • Gleditsch, K. S., and M. D. Ward. “Measuring space: A minimum-distance database and applications to international studies.” Journal of Peace Research 38, no. 6 (January 1, 2001): 739–58. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343301038006006.
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    • Gleditsch, K. S., and M. D. Ward. “War and peace in space and time: The role of democratization.” International Studies Quarterly 44, no. 1 (January 1, 2000): 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/0020-8833.00146.
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    • Gleditsch, K. S., and M. D. Ward. “A revised list of independent states since the congress of Vienna.” International Interactions 25, no. 4 (January 1, 1999): 393–413. https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629908434958.
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    • Shin, M., and M. D. Ward. “Lost in space: Political geography and the defense-growth trade-off.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 43, no. 6 (January 1, 1999): 793–817. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002799043006006.
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    • Cohen, J. S., and M. D. Ward. “Great expectations: Russian defence conversion.” Defence and Peace Economics 9, no. 4 (January 1, 1998): 381–94. https://doi.org/10.1080/10430719808404911.
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    • O’Loughlin, J., M. D. Ward, C. L. Lofdahl, J. S. Cohen, D. S. Brown, D. Reilly, K. S. Gleditsch, and M. Shin. “The diffusion of democracy, 1946-1994.” Annals of the Association of American Geographers 88, no. 4 (January 1, 1998): 545–74. https://doi.org/10.1111/0004-5608.00112.
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    • Ward, M. D., and K. S. Gleditsch. “Democratizing for peace.” American Political Science Review 92, no. 1 (January 1, 1998): 51–61. https://doi.org/10.2307/2585928.
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    • Gleditsch, K. S., and M. D. Ward. “Double take: A reexamination of democracy and autocracy in modern polities.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 41, no. 3 (January 1, 1997): 361–83. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002797041003002.
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    • Cohen, J. S., R. Stevenson, A. Mintz, and M. D. Ward. “Defense Expenditures and Economic Growth in Israel: The Indirect Link.” Journal of Peace Research 33, no. 3 (January 1, 1996): 341–52. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343396033003007.
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    • Fontanel, J., I. Borissova, and M. Ward. “The principles of arms conversion in the case of russia.” Defence and Peace Economics 6, no. 3 (November 1, 1995): 237–51. https://doi.org/10.1080/10430719508404828.
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    • Ward, M. D., J. S. Cohen, and M. M. Betsill. “The three faces of conversion in the usa.” Defence and Peace Economics 6, no. 3 (November 1, 1995): 221–35. https://doi.org/10.1080/10430719508404827.
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    • Ward, Michael D. “Allies, Adversaries, and International Trade. By Joanne Gowa. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1994. 148p. $24.95..” American Political Science Review 89, no. 03 (September 1995): 802–3. https://doi.org/10.2307/2083053.
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    • Ward, M. D., D. R. Davis, and C. L. Lofdahl. “A century of tradeoffs: defense and growth in Japan and the United States.” International Studies Quarterly 39, no. 1 (January 1, 1995): 27–50. https://doi.org/10.2307/2600722.
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    • Ward, M. D., M. Penubarti, J. S. Cohen, and C. L. Lofdahl. “Guns and' growth around the globe.” International Interactions 21, no. 2 (January 1, 1995): 181–201. https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629508434865.
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    • Gibson, M. L., and M. D. Ward. “Export orientation: pathway or artifact?.” International Studies Quarterly 36, no. 3 (January 1, 1992): 331–44. https://doi.org/10.2307/2600776.
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    • Ward, M. D., and D. R. Davis. “Sizing up the Peace Dividend: Economic Growth and Military Spending in the United States, 1948–1996.” American Political Science Review 86, no. 3 (January 1, 1992): 748–55. https://doi.org/10.2307/1964136.
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    • Ward, M. D., and S. Rajmaira. “Reciprocity and Norms in U.S.-Soviet Foreign Policy.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 36, no. 2 (January 1, 1992): 342–68. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002792036002006.
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    • Kirby, A., and M. D. Ward. “Modernity and the process of state formation: An examination of 20th century africa.” International Interactions 17, no. 1 (January 1, 1991): 113–26. https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629108434772.
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    • Rajmaira, Sheen, and Michael D. Ward. “Evolving Foreign Policy Norms: Reciprocity in the Superpower Triad.” International Studies Quarterly 34, no. 4 (December 1990): 457–457. https://doi.org/10.2307/2600607.
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    • Davis, D. R., and M. D. Ward. “They Dance Alone: Deaths and the Disappeared in Contemporary Chile.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 34, no. 3 (January 1, 1990): 449–75. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002790034003004.
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    • Davis, D. R., and M. D. Ward. “The Entrepreneurial State: Evidence from Taiwan.” Comparative Political Studies 23, no. 3 (January 1, 1990): 314–33. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414090023003002.
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    • Mintz, A., and M. D. Ward. “The political economy of military spending in Israel.” American Political Science Review 83, no. 2 (January 1, 1989): 521–33. https://doi.org/10.2307/1962403.
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    • Ward, M. D. “Things fall apart: A logical analysis of crisis resolution dynamics.” International Interactions 15, no. 1 (December 1, 1988): 65–79. https://doi.org/10.1080/03050628808434720.
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    • Mintz, Alex, and Michael D. Ward. “The Evolution of Israel's Military Expenditures: 1960-1983.” The Western Political Quarterly 41, no. 3 (September 1988): 489–489. https://doi.org/10.2307/448599.
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    • House, L. L., and M. D. Ward. “The behavioral power of nations: an analysis of verbal conflict using the equations of statistical equilibrium.” Quality and Quantity 22, no. 2 (June 1, 1988): 167–89. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00223040.
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    • Mintz, A., and M. D. Ward. “The evolution of israel's military expenditures: 1960-1983.” Political Research Quarterly 41, no. 3 (January 1, 1988): 489–507. https://doi.org/10.1177/106591298804100306.
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    • Park, K. Y., and M. D. Ward. “A research note on the correlates of war national capability data: Some revised procedures applied to the 1950–1980 era.” International Interactions 14, no. 3 (January 1, 1988): 191–99. https://doi.org/10.1080/03050628808434705.
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    • Ward, M. D. “PC-Globe.” Social Science Computer Review 6, no. 1 (January 1, 1988): 163–64. https://doi.org/10.1177/089443938800600124.
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    • Ward, M. D., and L. L. House. “A Theory of the Behavioral Power of Nations.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 32, no. 1 (January 1, 1988): 3–36. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002788032001001.
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    • Don Ward, Michael, and Andrew M. DonKirby. “Reexamining Spatial Models of International Conflicts.” Annals of the Association of American Geographers 77, no. 2 (June 1987): 279–83. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8306.1987.tb00159.x.
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    • Kirby, A. M., and M. D. Ward. “The spatial analysis of peace and war.” Comparative Political Studies 20, no. 3 (January 1, 1987): 293–313. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414087020003002.
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    • Ward, M. D., and A. Mintz. “Dynamics of Military Spending in Israel: A computer simulation.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 31, no. 1 (January 1, 1987): 86–105. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002787031001006.
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    • Ward, M. D. “The Political Economy of Arms Races and International Tension.” Conflict Management and Peace Science 7, no. 2 (January 1, 1984): 1–24. https://doi.org/10.1177/073889428400700201.
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    • Ward, M. D. “Differential Paths to Parity: A Study of the Contemporary Arms Race.” American Political Science Review 78, no. 2 (January 1, 1984): 297–317. https://doi.org/10.2307/1963366.
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    • Ward, M. D., and A. K. Mahajan. “Defense Expenditures, Security Threats, and Governmental Deficits: A case study of india, 1952-1979.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 28, no. 3 (January 1, 1984): 382–419. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002784028003002.
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    • Ward, M. D., and U. Widmaier. “The Domestic-International Conflict Nexus: New Evidence and Old Hypotheses.” International Interactions 9, no. 1 (January 1, 1982): 75–101. https://doi.org/10.1080/03050628208434591.
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    • Ward, M. D., and H. Guetzkow. “Toward integrated global models: From economic engineering to social science modeling.” Journal of Policy Modeling 1, no. 3 (January 1, 1979): 445–64. https://doi.org/10.1016/0161-8938(79)90008-5.
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    • Park, T. W., F. Abolfathi, and M. Ward. “Resource nationalism in the foreign policy behavior of oil exporting countries (1947 - 1974).” International Interactions 2, no. 4 (January 1, 1976): 247–62. https://doi.org/10.1080/03050627608434444.
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  • Book Sections

    • WARD, M. D., and Cassy L. Dorff. “Les réseaux, les dyades et le modèle des relations sociales.” In Liber Amicorum: Hommage En l’honneur Du Professeur Jacques Fontanel, edited by Liliane Perrin-Bensahel and Jean-Francois Guilhaudis, 271–88. L’Harmattan, 2013.
    • Ward, M. D. “Statistical Analysis of International Interdependencies..” In International Studies Encyclopaedic Compendium:, edited by Paul F. Diehl and James D. Morrow, Scientific Studies of International Proc:6615–28. Cambridge University Press, 2010.
    • Ward, M. D., and P. D. Hoff. “Analyzing Dependencies in Geo-Politics and Geo-Economics.” In Contributions to Conflict Management, Peace Economics and Development, edited by Jacques Fontanel and Manas Chatterji, 6:133–60. Emerald Publishing (Elsevier), 2009.
    • Gleditsch, K. S., and M. D. Ward. “Diffusion and the spread of democratic institutions.” In The Global Diffusion of Markets and Democracy, 9780521878890:261–302, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511755941.007.
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  • Conference Papers

    • Ward, M. D., P. D. Hoff, and C. L. Lofdahl. “Identifying international networks: Latent spaces and imputation.” In Dynamic Social Network Modeling and Analysis, edited by R. Breiger, K. Carley, and P. Pattison, 345–59. NATL ACADEMIES PRESS, 2003.
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    • Wilson, A., M. Ward, A. Kirby, and R. Pinder. “Re-entry into general practice - The Wessex strategy.” In Education for General Practice, 9:135–37, 1998.
• Scholarly, Clinical, & Service Activities
• 

  Presentations & Appearances

  • A New Visual Method for Evaluating the Predictive Power of Binary Models. December 29, 2009  2009
  • Gravity's Rainbow: A Dynamic Analysis of the Global Trade Network. December 29, 2009  2009
  • Gravity's Rainbow: the perils of p-values in models of international commerce. November 3, 2009  2009
  • International Trade Networks & International Institutions: The Role of Democracy & the WTO in Contemporary Trade. October 8, 2009  2009
  • Gravity's Rainbow: A Dynamic Analysis of the Global Trade Network. September 16, 2009  2009
  • Predicting Conflict in Space and Time. February 15, 2009  2009
• 

  Service to the Profession

  • Conference organizer : 10th Anniversary Conference on Statistics and Social Sciences, UW. June 4, 2009  2009

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