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Mikhail Kovtun

Biostatistician III
Center for Population Health & Aging
Box 90408, Durham, NC 27708-0408
Erwin Mill Building, 2024 W. Main St., Room A110B, Durham, NC 27705

Current Appointments & Affiliations


Recent Publications


Decomposition of disparities in life expectancy with applications to administrative health claims and registry data.

Journal Article Theoretical population biology · October 2023 Research shows that geographic disparities in life expectancy between leading and lagging states are increasing over time while racial disparities between Black and White Americans have been going down. In the 65+ age strata morbidity is the most common ca ... Full text Cite

Forecasting prevalence and mortality of Alzheimer's disease using the partitioning models.

Journal Article Exp Gerontol · April 2023 OBJECTIVES: Health forecasting is an important aspect of ensuring that the health system can effectively respond to the changing epidemiological environment. Common models for forecasting Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (AD/ADRD) are based on sim ... Full text Link to item Cite

Underlying mechanisms of change in cancer prevalence in older U.S. adults: contributions of incidence, survival, and ascertainment at early stages.

Journal Article Cancer Causes Control · September 2022 PURPOSE: To quantitatively evaluate contributions of trends in incidence, relative survival, and stage at diagnosis to the dynamics in the prevalence of major cancers (lung, prostate, colon, breast, urinary bladder, ovaries, stomach, pancreas, esophagus, k ... Full text Open Access Link to item Cite
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Recent Grants


Genetic Modulations of Morbidity Compression: A Population-Based Study

ResearchBiostatistician III · Awarded by National Institute on Aging · 2020 - 2026

Understanding Alzheimer's Disease in the Context of the Aging

ResearchBioinformatics Specialist · Awarded by National Institutes of Health · 2019 - 2025

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