Journal articleDefence and Peace Economics · January 1, 2024
When faced with a common threat, states have various alignment choices. Formal alliances offer explicit military obligations of support. Others, such as the Triple Entente that preceded World War I, are more ambiguous understandings. These entente-like ali ...
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Journal articleElectoral Studies · December 1, 2020
Past research suggests that voter behavior is influenced by perceptions of electoral competitiveness. For example, when an election is perceived to be close, voters will be more likely to turnout and/or cast strategic votes for their second-most preferred ...
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Journal articleJournal of Politics · April 1, 2019
History reveals enemies often ally to confront a common threat. In such competitive coalitions actors must balance the simultaneous risk of distrust of their ally against external danger. We model this interactive relationship and generate several novel ou ...
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Journal articlePolitical Behavior · March 15, 2019
Tests of theories of the electoral origins of divided government hinge on the proper measurement of voter preferences for divided government. Deriving preferences for divided government from voters’ ideological positions or responses to the standard Americ ...
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Journal articleAsian Survey · February 1, 2017
The opposition Democratic Progressive Party won decisive victories in the Legislative Yuan and presidential elections. Despite these victories, 2016 proved to be a difficult year for Taiwan's new ruling party. As 2016 drew to a close, polls showed that mos ...
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Journal articleAsian Survey · January 1, 2016
In 2015, Taipei's relations with Washington moved forward in parallel with the improvements in cross-Strait relations initiated in 2008. Perhaps most notable was President Ma Ying-jeou's summit meeting with China's President Xi Jinping. Despite gains in ex ...
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Journal articlePolitical Analysis · 2010
This paper extends McKelvey and Ordeshook’s (1972) Calculus of Voting, providing a direct derivation of the conditions under which voters will vote strategically: choose their second-most preferred candidate in order to prevent their least-preferred candid ...
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Journal articleJournal of East Asian Studies · March 2007
Most of the contemporary policy debate regarding economic interdependence and peace has focused on devising responses either in favor of or in opposition to the long prevailing notion that trade is positively and unconditionally correlated with peace. The ...
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Journal articleChina Quarterly · March 1, 2005
Whether there will be a war between China and Taiwan depends very much upon whether Taiwan will declare independence. And given that Taiwan is a democracy now, public opinion on the issue will certainly affect the political leaders' decision to move one wa ...
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Journal articleAsian Survey · July 1, 2004
Taiwan's democratization has placed Taiwan independence as one of the most important issues for its domestic politics and for the security balance in the Taiwan Strait. Surveys have been conducted regularly to track shifts in Taiwanese public sentiment on ...
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Journal articleJournal of Politics · February 1, 2004
A realistic theory of economic sanctions should be built on the facts that sanctions are a game of issue linkage involving two or more issues, players may not know each other's preferences for the outcome of the game, and threatening sanctions may be as im ...
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Journal articleJournal of Theoretical Politics · January 1, 2000
When some voters have nonseparable preferences across multiple binary issues, majority rule may not select a Condorcet winning set of outcomes when one exists, and the social choice may be a Condorcet loser or Pareto-dominated by every other set of outcome ...
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Journal articleJournal of Theoretical Politics · January 1, 1998
We derive Nash equilibrium candidate strategies in a double-member district election when voters have nonseparable preferences for candidates in a single-dimensional policy space. When candidates are elected simultaneously, nonseparable voter preferences c ...
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Journal articleConstitutional Political Economy · January 1, 1998
This essay explores the distinction between federations and alliances and asks the question: When will states choose to federate rather than ally? William Poker argues that a necessary condition for a federal state's formation is that those offering the fe ...
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Journal articleJournal of Theoretical Politics · January 1, 1997
The policing systems used in the former Soviet Union and Communist China are prototypes of control systems found in many political systems. The system in the former Soviet Union is a variant on the 'police patrol', while the system in Communist China is a ...
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Journal articleInternational Studies Quarterly · January 1, 1996
The nonproliferation regime, which denies countries access to critical materials, makes it more likely that defiant proliferators will develop unsafe arsenals. In order to manage proliferation, the U.S. could continue to uphold the regime, hoping to persua ...
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Journal articleMathematical and Computer Modelling · January 1, 1989
This paper extends a cooperative game-theoretic model of the balance of power in anarchic international systems to include consideration of the asymmetry which geography occasions in the offensive and defensive capabilities of countries. The two substantiv ...
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Journal articleJournal of Conflict Resolution · January 1, 1986
Attempts at incorporating the assumption that national leaders pursue clearly defined objectives, and at applying the theory of cooperative games to the analysis of international systems, have led to little success in formalizing the concept of balance of ...
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