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Mortality Burden of Cardiovascular Disease Attributable to Ozone in China: 2019 vs 2050.

Publication ,  Journal Article
Yao, M; Niu, Y; Liu, S; Liu, Y; Kan, H; Wang, S; Ji, JS; Zhao, B
Published in: Environmental science & technology
August 2023

Due to a combination of lifestyle risk factors, the burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been increasing in China, affecting an estimated 330 million people. Environmental risk factors can exacerbate these risks or independently contribute to CVD. Ozone is an overlooked and invisible risk factor, and it plays a significant role in the development of CVD. Our study provides a novel quantification of the ozone-attributable CVD mortality burden based on daily maximum 8-h average ozone concentration during May to October (6mDMA8) in Chinese adults in 2050, projected under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 585 and 126, and using the updated WHO air quality guideline level. The study also considers the contributions made by changes in ozone exposure, population aging, population size, and baseline death rates of CVD between 2019 and 2050. While adopting a sustainable and green pathway (SSP 126) can reduce the projected magnitude of premature CVD deaths to 359,200 in 2050, it may not be sufficient to reduce the CVD mortality burden significantly. Therefore, it is crucial to implement strategies for stricter ozone control and reducing the baseline death rate of CVD to mitigate the impacts of ozone on Chinese adults.

Duke Scholars

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Published In

Environmental science & technology

DOI

EISSN

1520-5851

ISSN

0013-936X

Publication Date

August 2023

Volume

57

Issue

30

Start / End Page

10985 / 10997

Related Subject Headings

  • Ozone
  • Humans
  • Environmental Sciences
  • China
  • Cardiovascular Diseases
  • Air Pollution
  • Air Pollutants
  • Adult
 

Citation

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Yao, M., Niu, Y., Liu, S., Liu, Y., Kan, H., Wang, S., … Zhao, B. (2023). Mortality Burden of Cardiovascular Disease Attributable to Ozone in China: 2019 vs 2050. Environmental Science & Technology, 57(30), 10985–10997. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.3c02076
Yao, Mingyao, Yue Niu, Shuchang Liu, Yumeng Liu, Haidong Kan, Shuxiao Wang, John S. Ji, and Bin Zhao. “Mortality Burden of Cardiovascular Disease Attributable to Ozone in China: 2019 vs 2050.Environmental Science & Technology 57, no. 30 (August 2023): 10985–97. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.3c02076.
Yao M, Niu Y, Liu S, Liu Y, Kan H, Wang S, et al. Mortality Burden of Cardiovascular Disease Attributable to Ozone in China: 2019 vs 2050. Environmental science & technology. 2023 Aug;57(30):10985–97.
Yao, Mingyao, et al. “Mortality Burden of Cardiovascular Disease Attributable to Ozone in China: 2019 vs 2050.Environmental Science & Technology, vol. 57, no. 30, Aug. 2023, pp. 10985–97. Epmc, doi:10.1021/acs.est.3c02076.
Yao M, Niu Y, Liu S, Liu Y, Kan H, Wang S, Ji JS, Zhao B. Mortality Burden of Cardiovascular Disease Attributable to Ozone in China: 2019 vs 2050. Environmental science & technology. 2023 Aug;57(30):10985–10997.
Journal cover image

Published In

Environmental science & technology

DOI

EISSN

1520-5851

ISSN

0013-936X

Publication Date

August 2023

Volume

57

Issue

30

Start / End Page

10985 / 10997

Related Subject Headings

  • Ozone
  • Humans
  • Environmental Sciences
  • China
  • Cardiovascular Diseases
  • Air Pollution
  • Air Pollutants
  • Adult