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Erythrocyte Count, Anemia, and the Human Natural Lifespan Limit: Evidence from the Long Life Family Study.

Journal articles  - Journal Article
Arbeev, KG; Bagley, O; Murabito, JM; Cohen, HJ; Pierce, BL; Johnson, WE; Eisenberg, DTA; Mahajan, MC; Andersen, SL; Christensen, K; Zmuda, JM ...
Published in: bioRxiv
June 26, 2026

Erythropoiesis is the most replication-intensive process in the body. Its lifelong replicative demands may erode hematopoietic cells' replicative capacity, leading to a decline in erythrocyte count (EC) in older adults and limiting their lifespan. We examined the relationship between EC and mortality among 1,620 participants aged ≥70 years in the Long Life Family Study and found that lower EC further augmented the exponential, age-dependent rise in mortality. We identified an EC threshold (ECT) (3.8×1012/L) below which mortality was amplified (p=9.3×10-6). As EC declined with age (p=8.2×10-18), it fell below this threshold in many participants, sharply increasing their mortality risk. This mortality-based ECT emerged from modeling, independent of the World Health Organization anemia definition, which is based on statistical thresholds (5th centiles) of hemoglobin distribution in populations ≤ 65 years. Thus, declining EC may be one of the biological factors imposing a natural lifespan limit on many older adults.

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Published In

bioRxiv

DOI

EISSN

2692-8205

Publication Date

June 26, 2026

Location

United States
 

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Arbeev, K. G., Bagley, O., Murabito, J. M., Cohen, H. J., Pierce, B. L., Johnson, W. E., … Aviv, A. (2026). Erythrocyte Count, Anemia, and the Human Natural Lifespan Limit: Evidence from the Long Life Family Study. BioRxiv. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.06.08.730977
Arbeev, Konstantin G., Olivia Bagley, Joanne M. Murabito, Harvey J. Cohen, Brandon L. Pierce, W Evan Johnson, Dan T. A. Eisenberg, et al. “Erythrocyte Count, Anemia, and the Human Natural Lifespan Limit: Evidence from the Long Life Family Study.BioRxiv, June 26, 2026. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.06.08.730977.
Arbeev KG, Bagley O, Murabito JM, Cohen HJ, Pierce BL, Johnson WE, et al. Erythrocyte Count, Anemia, and the Human Natural Lifespan Limit: Evidence from the Long Life Family Study. bioRxiv. 2026 Jun 26;
Arbeev, Konstantin G., et al. “Erythrocyte Count, Anemia, and the Human Natural Lifespan Limit: Evidence from the Long Life Family Study.BioRxiv, June 2026. Pubmed, doi:10.64898/2026.06.08.730977.
Arbeev KG, Bagley O, Murabito JM, Cohen HJ, Pierce BL, Johnson WE, Eisenberg DTA, Mahajan MC, Andersen SL, Christensen K, Zmuda JM, Thyagarajan B, Luo S, Yashin AI, Province MA, Aviv A. Erythrocyte Count, Anemia, and the Human Natural Lifespan Limit: Evidence from the Long Life Family Study. bioRxiv. 2026 Jun 26;

Published In

bioRxiv

DOI

EISSN

2692-8205

Publication Date

June 26, 2026

Location

United States