The association between intersystem prison transfers and COVID-19 incidence in a state prison system.

Journal Article (Journal Article)

Prisons are the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic. Media reports have focused on whether transfers of incarcerated people between prisons have been the source of outbreaks. Our objective was to examine the relationship between intersystem prison transfers and COVID-19 incidence in a state prison system. We assessed the change in the means of the time-series of prison transfers and their cross-correlation with the time-series of COVID-19 tests and cases. Regression with automatic detection of multiple change-points was used to identify important changes to transfers. There were over 20,000 transfers between the state's prisons from January through October 2020. Most who were transferred (82%), experienced a single transfer. Transfers between prisons are positively related to future COVID-19 case rates but transfers are not reactive to current case rates. To mitigate the spread of COVID-19 in carceral settings, it is crucial for transfers of individuals between facilities to be limited.

Full Text

Duke Authors

Cited Authors

  • Brinkley-Rubinstein, L; LeMasters, K; Nguyen, P; Nowotny, K; Cloud, D; Volfovsky, A

Published Date

  • January 2021

Published In

Volume / Issue

  • 16 / 8

Start / End Page

  • e0256185 -

PubMed ID

  • 34383854

Pubmed Central ID

  • PMC8360540

Electronic International Standard Serial Number (EISSN)

  • 1932-6203

International Standard Serial Number (ISSN)

  • 1932-6203

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

  • 10.1371/journal.pone.0256185

Language

  • eng