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Evaluating U.S. Electoral representation with a joint statistical model of congressional roll-calls, legislative text, and voter registration data

Publication ,  Conference
Xing, Z; Hillygus, S; Carin, L
Published in: Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining
August 13, 2017

Extensive information on 3 million randomly sampled United States citizens is used to construct a statistical model of constituent preferences for each U.S. congressional district. This model is linked to the legislative voting record of the legislator from each district, yielding an integrated model for constituency data, legislative roll-call votes, and the text of the legislation. The model is used to examine the extent to which legislators' voting records are aligned with constituent preferences, and the implications of that alignment (or lack thereof) on subsequent election outcomes. The analysis is based on a Bayesian formalism, with fast inference via a stochastic variational Bayesian analysis.

Duke Scholars

Published In

Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining

DOI

Publication Date

August 13, 2017

Volume

Part F129685

Start / End Page

1205 / 1214
 

Citation

APA
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Xing, Z., Hillygus, S., & Carin, L. (2017). Evaluating U.S. Electoral representation with a joint statistical model of congressional roll-calls, legislative text, and voter registration data. In Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (Vol. Part F129685, pp. 1205–1214). https://doi.org/10.1145/3097983.3098151
Xing, Z., S. Hillygus, and L. Carin. “Evaluating U.S. Electoral representation with a joint statistical model of congressional roll-calls, legislative text, and voter registration data.” In Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, Part F129685:1205–14, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1145/3097983.3098151.
Xing Z, Hillygus S, Carin L. Evaluating U.S. Electoral representation with a joint statistical model of congressional roll-calls, legislative text, and voter registration data. In: Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining. 2017. p. 1205–14.
Xing, Z., et al. “Evaluating U.S. Electoral representation with a joint statistical model of congressional roll-calls, legislative text, and voter registration data.” Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, vol. Part F129685, 2017, pp. 1205–14. Scopus, doi:10.1145/3097983.3098151.
Xing Z, Hillygus S, Carin L. Evaluating U.S. Electoral representation with a joint statistical model of congressional roll-calls, legislative text, and voter registration data. Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining. 2017. p. 1205–1214.

Published In

Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining

DOI

Publication Date

August 13, 2017

Volume

Part F129685

Start / End Page

1205 / 1214