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Machine learning risk prediction of mortality for patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2: the COVIDSurg mortality score.

Publication ,  Journal Article
COVIDSurg Collaborative,
Published in: Br J Surg
November 11, 2021

To support the global restart of elective surgery, data from an international prospective cohort study of 8492 patients (69 countries) was analysed using artificial intelligence (machine learning techniques) to develop a predictive score for mortality in surgical patients with SARS-CoV-2. We found that patient rather than operation factors were the best predictors and used these to create the COVIDsurg Mortality Score (https://covidsurgrisk.app). Our data demonstrates that it is safe to restart a wide range of surgical services for selected patients.

Duke Scholars

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Published In

Br J Surg

DOI

EISSN

1365-2168

Publication Date

November 11, 2021

Volume

108

Issue

11

Start / End Page

1274 / 1292

Location

England

Related Subject Headings

  • Surgical Procedures, Operative
  • Surgery
  • SARS-CoV-2
  • Risk Assessment
  • Models, Statistical
  • Machine Learning
  • Humans
  • Datasets as Topic
  • Cohort Studies
  • COVID-19
 

Citation

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ICMJE
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COVIDSurg Collaborative, . (2021). Machine learning risk prediction of mortality for patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2: the COVIDSurg mortality score. Br J Surg, 108(11), 1274–1292. https://doi.org/10.1093/bjs/znab183
COVIDSurg Collaborative, Takanori. “Machine learning risk prediction of mortality for patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2: the COVIDSurg mortality score.Br J Surg 108, no. 11 (November 11, 2021): 1274–92. https://doi.org/10.1093/bjs/znab183.
COVIDSurg Collaborative, Takanori. “Machine learning risk prediction of mortality for patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2: the COVIDSurg mortality score.Br J Surg, vol. 108, no. 11, Nov. 2021, pp. 1274–92. Pubmed, doi:10.1093/bjs/znab183.
Journal cover image

Published In

Br J Surg

DOI

EISSN

1365-2168

Publication Date

November 11, 2021

Volume

108

Issue

11

Start / End Page

1274 / 1292

Location

England

Related Subject Headings

  • Surgical Procedures, Operative
  • Surgery
  • SARS-CoV-2
  • Risk Assessment
  • Models, Statistical
  • Machine Learning
  • Humans
  • Datasets as Topic
  • Cohort Studies
  • COVID-19