Hailfinder: A Bayesian system for forecasting severe weather
Publication
, Journal Article
Abramson, B; Brown, J; Edwards, W; Murphy, A; Winkler, RL
Published in: International Journal of Forecasting
January 1, 1996
Hailfinder is a Bayesian system that combines meteorological data and models with expert judgment, based on both experience and physical understanding, to forecast severe weather in Northeastern Colorado. The system is based on a model, known as a belief network (BN), that has recently emerged as the basis of some powerful intelligent systems. Hailfinder is the first such system to apply these Bayesian models in the realm of meteorology, a field that has served as the basis of many past investigations of probabilistic forecasting. The design of Hailfinder provides a variety of insights to designers of other BN-based systems, regardless of their fields of application.
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Published In
International Journal of Forecasting
DOI
ISSN
0169-2070
Publication Date
January 1, 1996
Volume
12
Issue
1
Start / End Page
57 / 71
Related Subject Headings
- Econometrics
- 4905 Statistics
- 3802 Econometrics
- 1505 Marketing
- 1403 Econometrics
- 0104 Statistics
Citation
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Abramson, B., Brown, J., Edwards, W., Murphy, A., & Winkler, R. L. (1996). Hailfinder: A Bayesian system for forecasting severe weather. International Journal of Forecasting, 12(1), 57–71. https://doi.org/10.1016/0169-2070(95)00664-8
Abramson, B., J. Brown, W. Edwards, A. Murphy, and R. L. Winkler. “Hailfinder: A Bayesian system for forecasting severe weather.” International Journal of Forecasting 12, no. 1 (January 1, 1996): 57–71. https://doi.org/10.1016/0169-2070(95)00664-8.
Abramson B, Brown J, Edwards W, Murphy A, Winkler RL. Hailfinder: A Bayesian system for forecasting severe weather. International Journal of Forecasting. 1996 Jan 1;12(1):57–71.
Abramson, B., et al. “Hailfinder: A Bayesian system for forecasting severe weather.” International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 12, no. 1, Jan. 1996, pp. 57–71. Scopus, doi:10.1016/0169-2070(95)00664-8.
Abramson B, Brown J, Edwards W, Murphy A, Winkler RL. Hailfinder: A Bayesian system for forecasting severe weather. International Journal of Forecasting. 1996 Jan 1;12(1):57–71.
Published In
International Journal of Forecasting
DOI
ISSN
0169-2070
Publication Date
January 1, 1996
Volume
12
Issue
1
Start / End Page
57 / 71
Related Subject Headings
- Econometrics
- 4905 Statistics
- 3802 Econometrics
- 1505 Marketing
- 1403 Econometrics
- 0104 Statistics