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Robert L. Winkler

James B. Duke Distinguished Professor Emeritus of Business Administration
Fuqua School of Business
Box 90120, Durham, NC 27708-0120
Fuqua Sch of Bus, Durham, NC 27708

Overview


Robert L. Winkler is James B. Duke Professor in the Fuqua School of Business, Duke University and also holds an appointment in the Department of Statistical Science at Duke. He is a member of the decision sciences area at Fuqua, and he served as Senior Associate Dean for Faculty and Research from 1991 through 1997. Professor Winkler received his Ph.D. from the University of Chicago. Prior to joining the Duke faculty in 1984, he was Distinguished Professor of Quantitative Business Analysis at …

Current Appointments & Affiliations


James B. Duke Distinguished Professor Emeritus of Business Administration · 2024 - Present Fuqua School of Business
Professor Emeritus of Business Administration · 2024 - Present Fuqua School of Business
Professor of Statistical Science · 2007 - Present Statistical Science, Trinity College of Arts & Sciences

Recent Publications


Multivariate Almost Stochastic Dominance: Transfer Characterizations and Sufficient Conditions Under Dependence Uncertainty

Journal Article Operations Research · March 1, 2025 Most often, important decisions involve several unknown attributes. This produces a double challenge in the sense that both assessing the individual multiattribute preferences and assessing the joint distribution of the attributes can be extremely hard. To ... Full text Cite

Normativity, Epistemic Rationality, and Noisy Statistical Evidence

Journal Article British Journal for the Philosophy of Science · March 1, 2024 Many philosophers have argued that statistical evidence regarding group characteristics (particularly stereotypical ones) can create normative conflicts between the requirements of epistemic rationality and our moral obligations to each other. In a recent ... Full text Cite

The M5 uncertainty competition: Results, findings and conclusions

Journal Article International Journal of Forecasting · October 1, 2022 This paper describes the M5 “Uncertainty” competition, the second of two parallel challenges of the latest M competition, aiming to advance the theory and practice of forecasting. The particular objective of the M5 “Uncertainty” competition was to accurate ... Full text Cite
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Recent Grants


Evaluation of Probability Forecasts

ResearchPrincipal Investigator · Awarded by National Science Foundation · 1999 - 2002

Minority Business Consulting Program

ResearchPrincipal Investigator · Awarded by Small Business Administration · 1996 - 2001

Collaborative Research on Dependence Assessment for Risk and Decision Analysis

ResearchPrincipal Investigator · Awarded by National Science Foundation · 1995 - 1997

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Education, Training & Certifications


The University of Chicago · 1966 Ph.D.